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<h2 id="introduction">Introduction</h2>
<p><em>The dynamics of flight price predictions</em></p>
<p>Flight pricing models have long been of interest to researchers,
airline companies, and consumers alike <span class="citation"
data-cites="sun2024airline">(Sun et al. 2024)</span>. As global air
travel expands, so do the complexities involved in predicting flight
prices due to the dynamic nature of factors such as fuel costs, demand
fluctuations, and the regulatory environment <span class="citation"
data-cites="sun2024airline belobaba2015global international2019economic borenstein1994competition">(Sun
et al. 2024; Belobaba, Odoni, and Barnhart 2015; Association et al.
2019; Borenstein and Rose 1994)</span>. Predicting flight prices
accurately allows both passengers and airlines to optimize travel
schedules, with potential economic and environmental benefits <span
class="citation" data-cites="belobaba2015global">(Belobaba, Odoni, and
Barnhart 2015)</span>. In recent years, machine learning techniques have
been widely adopted in various industries, including aviation, to model
complex relationships and predict outcomes such as pricing <span
class="citation"
data-cites="sherly2023machine kalampokas2023holistic xu2021influential">(Sherly
Puspha Annabel et al. 2023; Kalampokas et al. 2023; Xu et al.
2021)</span>. For this project, we propose a machine learning-based
predictive model designed to estimate future flight prices based on
historical data from domestic flight routes to and from India.</p>
<p><em>The importance of predicting flight prices</em></p>
<p>Accurately predicting flight prices has significant implications for
multiple stakeholders. For consumers, anticipating price trends helps
optimize travel costs, allowing for better budgeting and planning <span
class="citation"
data-cites="international2019economic borenstein1994competition gillen2005economics">(Association
et al. 2019; Borenstein and Rose 1994; Gillen and Morrison 2005)</span>.
Airlines, on the other hand, can improve their revenue management
strategies through dynamic pricing, ensuring that flights operate closer
to capacity while adjusting pricing to meet seasonal demand shifts and
market competition <span class="citation"
data-cites="belobaba2015global borenstein1994competition gillen2005economics">(Belobaba,
Odoni, and Barnhart 2015; Borenstein and Rose 1994; Gillen and Morrison
2005)</span>. Additionally, by integrating environmental factors such as
carbon emissions into the pricing model, this research can help airlines
design more sustainable routes, potentially leading to fewer emissions
through better traffic management and efficient flight operations <span
class="citation"
data-cites="sun2024airline international2019economic gillen2005economics xiong2023aviation">(Sun
et al. 2024; Association et al. 2019; Gillen and Morrison 2005; Xiong et
al. 2023)</span>. The aviation industry contributes significantly to the
global economy but also poses challenges due to its substantial carbon
footprint <span class="citation"
data-cites="brueckner2017airline">(Brueckner and Abreu 2017)</span>.</p>
<p><em>Methodological approach and dataset</em></p>
<p>This project utilizes a Kaggle dataset on domestic flights in India,
covering variables such as airline name, total stops, departure and
destination locations, and flight prices [3–5, 8]. Using regression
techniques within a machine learning framework, the researchers aim to
identify which variables most significantly impact flight prices.
Initial findings suggest that factors such as the number of stops,
flight duration, and seasonal demand (correlating with major holidays in
India) are key drivers of price variation. For instance, a notable spike
in flight prices is observed around holidays in India, are insights that
not only advance knowledge in transportation economics but also serve as
a crucial decision-making tool for airline pricing strategies <span
class="citation"
data-cites="sun2024airline international2019economic borenstein1994competition gillen2005economics">(Sun
et al. 2024; Association et al. 2019; Borenstein and Rose 1994; Gillen
and Morrison 2005)</span>.</p>
<p><em>Multidisciplinary implications</em></p>
<p>By developing this predictive model, the research bridges the gap
between economics, machine learning, and environmental sustainability.
Future applications of this work could extend beyond pricing into areas
like route optimization and emission reduction strategies <span
class="citation" data-cites="international2019economic">(Association et
al. 2019)</span>. As flight prices are a key variable in both economic
and environmental calculations, understanding their underlying dynamics
can contribute to more sustainable and cost-effective air travel in the
future <span class="citation"
data-cites="belobaba2015global international2019economic gillen2005economics">(Belobaba,
Odoni, and Barnhart 2015; Association et al. 2019; Gillen and Morrison
2005)</span>.</p>
<div id="refs" class="references csl-bib-body hanging-indent"
data-entry-spacing="0" role="list">
<div id="ref-international2019economic" class="csl-entry"
role="listitem">
Association, International Air Transport et al. 2019. <span>“Economic
Performance of the Airline Industry.”</span> <em>URL: Https://Www. Iata.
Org/Whatwedo/Documents/Economics/IATA-Economic-Performance-of-the-Industry-End-Year-2014-Report.
Pdf (Дата Обращения: 22.12. 2015)</em>.
</div>
<div id="ref-belobaba2015global" class="csl-entry" role="listitem">
Belobaba, Peter, Amedeo Odoni, and Cynthia Barnhart. 2015. <em>The
Global Airline Industry</em>. John Wiley &amp; Sons.
</div>
<div id="ref-borenstein1994competition" class="csl-entry"
role="listitem">
Borenstein, Severin, and Nancy L Rose. 1994. <span>“Competition and
Price Dispersion in the US Airline Industry.”</span> <em>Journal of
Political Economy</em> 102 (4): 653–83.
</div>
<div id="ref-brueckner2017airline" class="csl-entry" role="listitem">
Brueckner, Jan K, and Chrystyane Abreu. 2017. <span>“Airline Fuel Usage
and Carbon Emissions: Determining Factors.”</span> <em>Journal of Air
Transport Management</em> 62: 10–17.
</div>
<div id="ref-gillen2005economics" class="csl-entry" role="listitem">
Gillen, David, and William G Morrison. 2005. <span>“The Economics of
Franchise Contracts and Airport Policy.”</span> <em>Journal of Air
Transport Management</em> 11 (1): 43–48.
</div>
<div id="ref-kalampokas2023holistic" class="csl-entry" role="listitem">
Kalampokas, Theofanis, Konstantinos Tziridis, Nikolaos Kalampokas,
Alexandros Nikolaou, Eleni Vrochidou, and George A Papakostas. 2023.
<span>“A Holistic Approach on Airfare Price Prediction Using Machine
Learning Techniques.”</span> <em>IEEE Access</em> 11: 46627–43.
</div>
<div id="ref-sherly2023machine" class="csl-entry" role="listitem">
Sherly Puspha Annabel, L, G Ramanan, R Prakash, and S Sreenidhi. 2023.
<span>“Machine Learning-Based Approach for Airfare Forecasting.”</span>
In <em>Proceedings of International Conference on Data Science and
Applications: ICDSA 2022, Volume 2</em>, 901–12. Springer.
</div>
<div id="ref-sun2024airline" class="csl-entry" role="listitem">
Sun, Xiaoqian, Changhong Zheng, Sebastian Wandelt, and Anming Zhang.
2024. <span>“Airline Competition: A Comprehensive Review of Recent
Research.”</span> <em>Journal of the Air Transport Research
Society</em>, 100013.
</div>
<div id="ref-xiong2023aviation" class="csl-entry" role="listitem">
Xiong, Xueli, Xiaomeng Song, Anna Kaygorodova, Xichun Ding, Lijia Guo,
and Jiashun Huang. 2023. <span>“Aviation and Carbon Emissions: Evidence
from Airport Operations.”</span> <em>Journal of Air Transport
Management</em> 109: 102383.
</div>
<div id="ref-xu2021influential" class="csl-entry" role="listitem">
Xu, Xu, Clare Anne McGrory, You-Gan Wang, and Jinran Wu. 2021.
<span>“Influential Factors on Chinese Airlines’ Profitability and
Forecasting Methods.”</span> <em>Journal of Air Transport
Management</em> 91: 101969.
</div>
</div>

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