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<h2 id="introduction">Introduction</h2> | ||
<p><em>The dynamics of flight price predictions</em></p> | ||
<p>Flight pricing models have long been of interest to researchers, | ||
airline companies, and consumers alike <span class="citation" | ||
data-cites="sun2024airline">(Sun et al. 2024)</span>. As global air | ||
travel expands, so do the complexities involved in predicting flight | ||
prices due to the dynamic nature of factors such as fuel costs, demand | ||
fluctuations, and the regulatory environment <span class="citation" | ||
data-cites="sun2024airline belobaba2015global international2019economic borenstein1994competition">(Sun | ||
et al. 2024; Belobaba, Odoni, and Barnhart 2015; Association et al. | ||
2019; Borenstein and Rose 1994)</span>. Predicting flight prices | ||
accurately allows both passengers and airlines to optimize travel | ||
schedules, with potential economic and environmental benefits <span | ||
class="citation" data-cites="belobaba2015global">(Belobaba, Odoni, and | ||
Barnhart 2015)</span>. In recent years, machine learning techniques have | ||
been widely adopted in various industries, including aviation, to model | ||
complex relationships and predict outcomes such as pricing <span | ||
class="citation" | ||
data-cites="sherly2023machine kalampokas2023holistic xu2021influential">(Sherly | ||
Puspha Annabel et al. 2023; Kalampokas et al. 2023; Xu et al. | ||
2021)</span>. For this project, we propose a machine learning-based | ||
predictive model designed to estimate future flight prices based on | ||
historical data from domestic flight routes to and from India.</p> | ||
<p><em>The importance of predicting flight prices</em></p> | ||
<p>Accurately predicting flight prices has significant implications for | ||
multiple stakeholders. For consumers, anticipating price trends helps | ||
optimize travel costs, allowing for better budgeting and planning <span | ||
class="citation" | ||
data-cites="international2019economic borenstein1994competition gillen2005economics">(Association | ||
et al. 2019; Borenstein and Rose 1994; Gillen and Morrison 2005)</span>. | ||
Airlines, on the other hand, can improve their revenue management | ||
strategies through dynamic pricing, ensuring that flights operate closer | ||
to capacity while adjusting pricing to meet seasonal demand shifts and | ||
market competition <span class="citation" | ||
data-cites="belobaba2015global borenstein1994competition gillen2005economics">(Belobaba, | ||
Odoni, and Barnhart 2015; Borenstein and Rose 1994; Gillen and Morrison | ||
2005)</span>. Additionally, by integrating environmental factors such as | ||
carbon emissions into the pricing model, this research can help airlines | ||
design more sustainable routes, potentially leading to fewer emissions | ||
through better traffic management and efficient flight operations <span | ||
class="citation" | ||
data-cites="sun2024airline international2019economic gillen2005economics xiong2023aviation">(Sun | ||
et al. 2024; Association et al. 2019; Gillen and Morrison 2005; Xiong et | ||
al. 2023)</span>. The aviation industry contributes significantly to the | ||
global economy but also poses challenges due to its substantial carbon | ||
footprint <span class="citation" | ||
data-cites="brueckner2017airline">(Brueckner and Abreu 2017)</span>.</p> | ||
<p><em>Methodological approach and dataset</em></p> | ||
<p>This project utilizes a Kaggle dataset on domestic flights in India, | ||
covering variables such as airline name, total stops, departure and | ||
destination locations, and flight prices [3–5, 8]. Using regression | ||
techniques within a machine learning framework, the researchers aim to | ||
identify which variables most significantly impact flight prices. | ||
Initial findings suggest that factors such as the number of stops, | ||
flight duration, and seasonal demand (correlating with major holidays in | ||
India) are key drivers of price variation. For instance, a notable spike | ||
in flight prices is observed around holidays in India, are insights that | ||
not only advance knowledge in transportation economics but also serve as | ||
a crucial decision-making tool for airline pricing strategies <span | ||
class="citation" | ||
data-cites="sun2024airline international2019economic borenstein1994competition gillen2005economics">(Sun | ||
et al. 2024; Association et al. 2019; Borenstein and Rose 1994; Gillen | ||
and Morrison 2005)</span>.</p> | ||
<p><em>Multidisciplinary implications</em></p> | ||
<p>By developing this predictive model, the research bridges the gap | ||
between economics, machine learning, and environmental sustainability. | ||
Future applications of this work could extend beyond pricing into areas | ||
like route optimization and emission reduction strategies <span | ||
class="citation" data-cites="international2019economic">(Association et | ||
al. 2019)</span>. As flight prices are a key variable in both economic | ||
and environmental calculations, understanding their underlying dynamics | ||
can contribute to more sustainable and cost-effective air travel in the | ||
future <span class="citation" | ||
data-cites="belobaba2015global international2019economic gillen2005economics">(Belobaba, | ||
Odoni, and Barnhart 2015; Association et al. 2019; Gillen and Morrison | ||
2005)</span>.</p> | ||
<div id="refs" class="references csl-bib-body hanging-indent" | ||
data-entry-spacing="0" role="list"> | ||
<div id="ref-international2019economic" class="csl-entry" | ||
role="listitem"> | ||
Association, International Air Transport et al. 2019. <span>“Economic | ||
Performance of the Airline Industry.”</span> <em>URL: Https://Www. Iata. | ||
Org/Whatwedo/Documents/Economics/IATA-Economic-Performance-of-the-Industry-End-Year-2014-Report. | ||
Pdf (Дата Обращения: 22.12. 2015)</em>. | ||
</div> | ||
<div id="ref-belobaba2015global" class="csl-entry" role="listitem"> | ||
Belobaba, Peter, Amedeo Odoni, and Cynthia Barnhart. 2015. <em>The | ||
Global Airline Industry</em>. John Wiley & Sons. | ||
</div> | ||
<div id="ref-borenstein1994competition" class="csl-entry" | ||
role="listitem"> | ||
Borenstein, Severin, and Nancy L Rose. 1994. <span>“Competition and | ||
Price Dispersion in the US Airline Industry.”</span> <em>Journal of | ||
Political Economy</em> 102 (4): 653–83. | ||
</div> | ||
<div id="ref-brueckner2017airline" class="csl-entry" role="listitem"> | ||
Brueckner, Jan K, and Chrystyane Abreu. 2017. <span>“Airline Fuel Usage | ||
and Carbon Emissions: Determining Factors.”</span> <em>Journal of Air | ||
Transport Management</em> 62: 10–17. | ||
</div> | ||
<div id="ref-gillen2005economics" class="csl-entry" role="listitem"> | ||
Gillen, David, and William G Morrison. 2005. <span>“The Economics of | ||
Franchise Contracts and Airport Policy.”</span> <em>Journal of Air | ||
Transport Management</em> 11 (1): 43–48. | ||
</div> | ||
<div id="ref-kalampokas2023holistic" class="csl-entry" role="listitem"> | ||
Kalampokas, Theofanis, Konstantinos Tziridis, Nikolaos Kalampokas, | ||
Alexandros Nikolaou, Eleni Vrochidou, and George A Papakostas. 2023. | ||
<span>“A Holistic Approach on Airfare Price Prediction Using Machine | ||
Learning Techniques.”</span> <em>IEEE Access</em> 11: 46627–43. | ||
</div> | ||
<div id="ref-sherly2023machine" class="csl-entry" role="listitem"> | ||
Sherly Puspha Annabel, L, G Ramanan, R Prakash, and S Sreenidhi. 2023. | ||
<span>“Machine Learning-Based Approach for Airfare Forecasting.”</span> | ||
In <em>Proceedings of International Conference on Data Science and | ||
Applications: ICDSA 2022, Volume 2</em>, 901–12. Springer. | ||
</div> | ||
<div id="ref-sun2024airline" class="csl-entry" role="listitem"> | ||
Sun, Xiaoqian, Changhong Zheng, Sebastian Wandelt, and Anming Zhang. | ||
2024. <span>“Airline Competition: A Comprehensive Review of Recent | ||
Research.”</span> <em>Journal of the Air Transport Research | ||
Society</em>, 100013. | ||
</div> | ||
<div id="ref-xiong2023aviation" class="csl-entry" role="listitem"> | ||
Xiong, Xueli, Xiaomeng Song, Anna Kaygorodova, Xichun Ding, Lijia Guo, | ||
and Jiashun Huang. 2023. <span>“Aviation and Carbon Emissions: Evidence | ||
from Airport Operations.”</span> <em>Journal of Air Transport | ||
Management</em> 109: 102383. | ||
</div> | ||
<div id="ref-xu2021influential" class="csl-entry" role="listitem"> | ||
Xu, Xu, Clare Anne McGrory, You-Gan Wang, and Jinran Wu. 2021. | ||
<span>“Influential Factors on Chinese Airlines’ Profitability and | ||
Forecasting Methods.”</span> <em>Journal of Air Transport | ||
Management</em> 91: 101969. | ||
</div> | ||
</div> |