US Candy Production Forecasting

This project used XGBoost to predict the candy production.

The data can be download at https://www.kaggle.com/rtatman/us-candy-production-by-month

The distribution of production

Outlier Detection

Lag analysis and autocorrelation analysis

Lag 1

Lag 4

Lag 12

Results:

Metrix	value
Mean Squared Error	0.3239758131874296
Mean Absolute Error	0.4282815776134681