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romainsacchi authored and romainsacchi committed Aug 26, 2024
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Expand Up @@ -539,15 +539,26 @@ Photovoltaic panels are expected to improve over time. The following module effi
are considered for the different types of PV panels:
====================== =========== ============ =========== ======= ====== =======
% module efficiency micro-Si single-Si multi-Si CIGS CIS CdTe
====================== =========== ============ =========== ======= ====== =======
2010 10 15.1 14 11 11 10
2020 11.9 17.9 16.8 14 14 16.8
2050 12.5 26.7 24.4 23.4 23.4 21
====================== =========== ============ =========== ======= ====== =======
The sources for these efficiencies are given in the inventory file LCI_PV_:
========================================================================================================================================================
% module efficiency micro-Si single-Si multi-Si CIGS CIS CdTe GaAs perovskite Source
========================================================================================================================================================
2010 10.0 (7.5-12.5) 15.0 (11.3-18.9) 14.0 (10.5-17.5) 11.0 (8.3-13.8) 11.0 (8.3-13.8) 10.0 (8.8-12.0) 28.0 (21.0-35.0) 25.0 (19.0-31.0) [1], [2], [3], [4], [5], [6], [7], [8]
2020 11.9 (9.0-15.0) 17.9 (13.0-22.0) 16.8 (12.0-21.0) 14.0 (10.5-18.0) 14.0 (10.5-18.0) 16.8 (13.0-21.0) 28.0 (21.0-35.0) 25.0 (19.0-31.0) [1], [2], [3], [4], [5], [6], [7], [8]
2023 - 22.0 (17.0-24.0) - 15.0 (11.3-19.0) - 19.0 (15.0-20.0) - - [2], [4], [6]
2050 12.5 (9.0-16.0) 26.7 (20.0-34.0) 24.4 (16.0-30.0) 23.4 (17.3-29.0) 23.4 (17.3-29.0) 21.0 (17.5-25.0) 28.0 (25.0-28.0) 25.0 (22.0-31.0) [1], [2], [3], [4], [5], [6], [7], [8]
========================================================================================================================================================
.. [1] https://www.ise.fraunhofer.de/content/dam/ise/de/documents/publications/studies/Photovoltaics-Report.pdf
.. [2] https://www.ise.fraunhofer.de/content/dam/ise/de/documents/publications/studies/Photovoltaics-Report.pdf
.. [3] https://www.ise.fraunhofer.de/content/dam/ise/de/documents/publications/studies/Photovoltaics-Report.pdf
.. [4] https://www.ise.fraunhofer.de/content/dam/ise/de/documents/publications/studies/Photovoltaics-Report.pdf. For future efficiency: own assumption, -+25%.
.. [5] Future eff: Fraunhofer ISE Photovoltaics Report 2019; Uncertainty: Own assumption: -+25%.
.. [6] https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0927024823001101
.. [7] https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11367-020-01791-z
.. [8] https://pubs.rsc.org/en/content/articlelanding/2022/se/d2se00096b; https://www.csem.ch/en/news/photovoltaic-technology-breakthrough-achieving-31.25-efficiency/
The sources for these efficiencies are also given in the inventory file LCI_PV_:
.. _LCI_PV: https://github.com/polca/premise/blob/master/premise/data/additional_inventories/lci-PV.xlsx
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