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Integrated model of the black-throated blue warbler in Pennsylvania

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Bob O’Hara & Lea Dambly 8/7/2019

Introduction

This is the repository for the code for the integrated modelling example for Isaac et al. (submitted), fitting a model for the black-throated blue warbler (Setophaga caerulescens) in Pennsylvania, USA. This is an extension of the analysis in Miller et al. (2019).

We use the following observation data:

  • Pennsylvania Breeding Bird Atlas point count data for part of Pennsylvania. This is taken straight from the SI of Miller et al. (2019)
  • eBird data from 2006-2009, downloaded from GBIF, using the spocc package (Chamberlain 2018)
  • North American BBS data (Pardieck and Hudson. 2018) for 2005-2009

These data are in the Data directory.

For environmental data we use elevation and canopy cover, both imported directly into R.

  • Elevation is imported using the elevatr package which utilises Amazon Web Services terrain tiles (Hollister and Shah 2017)
  • Canopy cover is imported using the FedData package which downloads the USGS’s NLCD canopy data from 2011 (Bocinsky 2019)

In addition, we use population density from the U.S. Census Bureau (Recht 2019), as a covariate on the eBird data. If you wish to download this data directly, you will need a census key, which you can get by signing up here. The data used in the model fitting has already been downloaded.

Workflow

Note that the files should run “as is”, but the predictions will be at a coarser scale than used in final version. This is to ensure it runs fairly quickly (high performance computers were used for the final version). If you want the predictions at the scale used in the final version, set Nxy.scale <- 0.01 before you run MakeStacks.R.

The workflow is as follows:

  • extract the observation data, with ExtractData.R. Note that you will need a key for the US census to run this. This has already been done, and the results are the .csv files in Data/
  • make the INLA stacks, using MakeStacks.R. This includes the covariate data, and creates some large objects that we don’t save in this repository.
  • Fit the model, with FitWarblerModel.R. This takes some time (overnight with the fine-scaled prediction surface), and creates another big .RData file.
  • Look at and plot the results, with WarblerResults.R. This produces some maps

Files

This Directory

Data Folder

  • BBA.csv: Pennsylvania breeding bird atlas data
  • BBS.csv: North American breeding bird survey data
  • eBird.csv: eBird data, downloaded from GBIF, plus census data from the US Census Bureau

Functions Folder

Some of these functions are from the current version of the PointedSDms package. As that package is in early development, we cannot guarantee the functions will be the same when you read this.

Memory requirements

Fitting the model with the FitModel.R function and the fully-scaled prediction layer can take >24 hours and can potentially crash due to the large amount of memory required. Thus a lower-resolution prediction is made, but see the note in MakeStacks.R about creating the full predictions.

If you want teh predictions at a high resolution and hit memory problems, there are a couple of possible solutions:

  • reduce the number of threads used via the nthreads argument - this will increase runtime but reduce memory requirements.
  • run the code on a larger machine or remote server, or ma.

Acknowledgements

Most of the code was written by Lea Dambly, and then changed by Bob O’Hara. Additional comments and help from Nick Isaac, Nick Golding and Colin Beale.

References

Bocinsky, R. Kyle. 2019. FedData: Functions to Automate Downloading Geospatial Data Available from Several Federated Data Sources. https://CRAN.R-project.org/package=FedData.

Chamberlain, Scott. 2018. Spocc: Interface to Species Occurrence Data Sources. https://CRAN.R-project.org/package=spocc.

Hollister, Jeffrey, and Tarak Shah. 2017. Elevatr: Access Elevation Data from Various Apis. http://github.com/usepa/elevatr.

Miller, David A. W., Krishna Pacifici, Jamie S. Sanderlin, and Brian J. Reich. 2019. “The Recent Past and Promising Future for Data Integration Methods to Estimate Species’ Distributions.” Methods in Ecology and Evolution 10 (1): 22–37. https://doi.org/10.1111/2041-210X.13110.

Pardieck, D.J. Ziolkowski Jr., K.L., and M.-A.R. Hudson. 2018. North American Breeding Bird Survey Dataset 1966 - 2017, Version 2017.0. U.S. Geological Survey, Patuxent Wildlife Research Center. https://doi.org/10.5066/F76972V8.

Recht, Hannah. 2019. Censusapi: Retrieve Data from the Census Apis. https://CRAN.R-project.org/package=censusapi.

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