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gvschweinitz committed Apr 11, 2024
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6 changes: 3 additions & 3 deletions author/gregor-von-schweinitz/index.html
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<p>Welcome! I am an Assistant Professor for Quantitative Macroeconomics at
<a href="https://www.wifa.uni-leipzig.de/en" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><strong>Leipzig University</strong></a> and the head of the research group &ldquo;Volatility, Growth and Financial Crises&rdquo; at the
<p>Welcome! I will join [<strong>Corvinus University</strong>] in September 2024.</p>
<p>Currently, I am working as an Assistant Professor for Quantitative Macroeconomics at
<a href="https://www.wifa.uni-leipzig.de/en" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><strong>Leipzig University</strong></a> and as head of the research group &ldquo;Volatility, Growth and Financial Crises&rdquo; at the
<a href="https://www.iwh-halle.de/en/" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><strong>Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH)</strong></a>. Previously, I was an interim professor for Applied Macroeconomics at the
<a href="https://www.wsf.uni-rostock.de/en/" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><strong>University of Rostock</strong></a>, a guest researcher at the
<a href="https://www.bundesbank.de/en" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><strong>Deutsche Bundesbank</strong></a> and a lecturer at the
<a href="https://www.jurawiwi.uni-halle.de/?lang=en" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><strong>Martin Luther University Halle-Wittenberg</strong></a>.</p>
<p>My research interest lie on macroeconomic consequences of financial crises. My research spans three broader topics. First, my work concerns the empirical interaction between financial markets and macroeconomic outcomes. In particular, I investigate the importance of credit demand and supply fluctuations for aggregate fluctuations, and the role of sovereign debt limitations (in the form of sovereign ratings or sovereign bond demand) on fiscal policy and macroeconomic outcomes. The second strand of my research concerns the implementation of models to produce timely warnings of impending crises. The third strand focuses on the combination of macroeconomic and microeconomic datasets for structural macroeconomic analysis.</p>
<p><strong>I will be on the 2023/2024 job market</strong></p>


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7 changes: 1 addition & 6 deletions author/gregor-von-schweinitz/index.xml
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<title>The importance of credit demand for business cycle dynamics</title>
<link>https://gvschweinitz.org/publication/gsz_creditdemandandsupply/</link>
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<h1>Biography</h1>

<p>Welcome! I am an Assistant Professor for Quantitative Macroeconomics at
<a href="https://www.wifa.uni-leipzig.de/en" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><strong>Leipzig University</strong></a> and the head of the research group &ldquo;Volatility, Growth and Financial Crises&rdquo; at the
<p>Welcome! I will join [<strong>Corvinus University</strong>] in September 2024.</p>
<p>Currently, I am working as an Assistant Professor for Quantitative Macroeconomics at
<a href="https://www.wifa.uni-leipzig.de/en" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><strong>Leipzig University</strong></a> and as head of the research group &ldquo;Volatility, Growth and Financial Crises&rdquo; at the
<a href="https://www.iwh-halle.de/en/" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><strong>Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH)</strong></a>. Previously, I was an interim professor for Applied Macroeconomics at the
<a href="https://www.wsf.uni-rostock.de/en/" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><strong>University of Rostock</strong></a>, a guest researcher at the
<a href="https://www.bundesbank.de/en" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><strong>Deutsche Bundesbank</strong></a> and a lecturer at the
<a href="https://www.jurawiwi.uni-halle.de/?lang=en" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><strong>Martin Luther University Halle-Wittenberg</strong></a>.</p>
<p>My research interest lie on macroeconomic consequences of financial crises. My research spans three broader topics. First, my work concerns the empirical interaction between financial markets and macroeconomic outcomes. In particular, I investigate the importance of credit demand and supply fluctuations for aggregate fluctuations, and the role of sovereign debt limitations (in the form of sovereign ratings or sovereign bond demand) on fiscal policy and macroeconomic outcomes. The second strand of my research concerns the implementation of models to produce timely warnings of impending crises. The third strand focuses on the combination of macroeconomic and microeconomic datasets for structural macroeconomic analysis.</p>
<p><strong>I will be on the 2023/2024 job market</strong></p>


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<a href="/publication/gsz_creditdemandandsupply/" class="summary-link">
<div class="article-style">
<p>This paper contributes to a better understanding of the important role that credit demand plays for credit markets and aggregate macroeconomic developments as both a source and transmitter of economic shocks. I an the first to identify a structural credit demand equation together with credit supply, aggregate supply, demand and monetary policy in a Bayesian structural VAR. The model combines informative priors on structural coefficients and multiple external instruments to achieve identification. In order to improve identification of the credit demand shocks, I construct a new granular instrument from regional mortgage origination. I find that credit demand is quite elastic with respect to contemporaneous macroeconomic conditions, while credit supply is relatively inelastic. I show that credit supply and demand shocks matter for aggregate fluctuations, albeit at different times. Credit demand shocks mostly drove the boom prior to the financial crisis, while credit supply shocks were responsible during and after the crisis itself. In an out-of-sample exercise, I find that the Covid pandemic induced a large expansion of credit demand in 2020Q2, which pushed the US economy towards a sustained recovery and helped to avoid a stagflationary scenario in 2022.</p>
<p>This paper contributes to a better understanding of the important role that credit demand plays for credit markets and aggregate macroeconomic developments as both a source and transmitter of economic shocks. I am the first to identify a structural credit demand equation together with credit supply, aggregate supply, demand and monetary policy in a Bayesian structural VAR. The model combines informative priors on structural coefficients and multiple external instruments to achieve identification. In order to improve identification of the credit demand shocks, I construct a new granular instrument from regional mortgage origination. I find that credit demand is quite elastic with respect to contemporaneous macroeconomic conditions, while credit supply is relatively inelastic. I show that credit supply and demand shocks matter for aggregate fluctuations, albeit at different times. Credit demand shocks mostly drove the boom prior to the financial crisis, while credit supply shocks were responsible during and after the crisis itself. In an out-of-sample exercise, I find that the Covid pandemic induced a large expansion of credit demand in 2020Q2, which pushed the US economy towards a sustained recovery and helped to avoid a stagflationary scenario in 2022.</p>
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<h2><a href="/publication/gsz_creditdemandandsupply/" >The importance of credit demand for business cycle dynamics</a></h2>
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This paper contributes to a better understanding of the important role that credit demand plays for credit markets and aggregate macroeconomic developments as both a source and transmitter of economic shocks. I an the first to identify a structural …
This paper contributes to a better understanding of the important role that credit demand plays for credit markets and aggregate macroeconomic developments as both a source and transmitter of economic shocks. I am the first to identify a structural …

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