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# GraphCast: Learning skillful medium-range global weather forecasting | ||
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This package contains example code to run and train [GraphCast](https://arxiv.org/abs/2212.12794). | ||
It also provides three pretrained models: | ||
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1. `GraphCast`, the high-resolution model used in the GraphCast paper (0.25 degree | ||
resolution, 37 pressure levels), trained on ERA5 data from 1979 to 2017, | ||
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2. `GraphCast_small`, a smaller, low-resolution version of GraphCast (1 degree | ||
resolution, 13 pressure levels, and a smaller mesh), trained on ERA5 data from | ||
1979 to 2015, useful to run a model with lower memory and compute constraints, | ||
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3. `GraphCast_operational`, a high-resolution model (0.25 degree resolution, 13 | ||
pressure levels) pre-trained on ERA5 data from 1979 to 2017 and fine-tuned on | ||
HRES data from 2016 to 2021. This model can be initialized from HRES data (does | ||
not require precipitation inputs). | ||
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The model weights, normalization statistics, and example inputs are available on [Google Cloud Bucket](https://console.cloud.google.com/storage/browser/dm_graphcast). | ||
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Full model training requires downloading the | ||
[ERA5](https://www.ecmwf.int/en/forecasts/datasets/reanalysis-datasets/era5) | ||
dataset, available from [ECMWF](https://www.ecmwf.int/). | ||
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## Overview of files | ||
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The best starting point is to open `graphcast_demo.ipynb` in [Colaboratory](https://colab.research.google.com/github/deepmind/graphcast/blob/master/graphcast_demo.ipynb), which gives an | ||
example of loading data, generating random weights or load a pre-trained | ||
snapshot, generating predictions, computing the loss and computing gradients. | ||
The one-step implementation of GraphCast architecture, is provided in | ||
`graphcast.py`. | ||
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### Brief description of library files: | ||
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* `autoregressive.py`: Wrapper used to run (and train) the one-step GraphCast | ||
to produce a sequence of predictions by auto-regressively feeding the | ||
outputs back as inputs at each step, in JAX a differentiable way. | ||
* `casting.py`: Wrapper used around GraphCast to make it work using | ||
BFloat16 precision. | ||
* `checkpoint.py`: Utils to serialize and deserialize trees. | ||
* `data_utils.py`: Utils for data preprocessing. | ||
* `deep_typed_graph_net.py`: General purpose deep graph neural network (GNN) | ||
that operates on `TypedGraph`'s where both inputs and outputs are flat | ||
vectors of features for each of the nodes and edges. `graphcast.py` uses | ||
three of these for the Grid2Mesh GNN, the Multi-mesh GNN and the Mesh2Grid | ||
GNN, respectively. | ||
* `graphcast.py`: The main GraphCast model architecture for one-step of | ||
predictions. | ||
* `grid_mesh_connectivity.py`: Tools for converting between regular grids on a | ||
sphere and triangular meshes. | ||
* `icosahedral_mesh.py`: Definition of an icosahedral multi-mesh. | ||
* `losses.py`: Loss computations, including latitude-weighting. | ||
* `model_utils.py`: Utilities to produce flat node and edge vector features | ||
from input grid data, and to manipulate the node output vectors back | ||
into a multilevel grid data. | ||
* `normalization.py`: Wrapper for the one-step GraphCast used to normalize | ||
inputs according to historical values, and targets according to historical | ||
time differences. | ||
* `predictor_base.py`: Defines the interface of the predictor, which GraphCast | ||
and all of the wrappers implement. | ||
* `rollout.py`: Similar to `autoregressive.py` but used only at inference time | ||
using a python loop to produce longer, but non-differentiable trajectories. | ||
* `typed_graph.py`: Definition of `TypedGraph`'s. | ||
* `typed_graph_net.py`: Implementation of simple graph neural network | ||
building blocks defined over `TypedGraph`'s that can be combined to build | ||
deeper models. | ||
* `xarray_jax.py`: A wrapper to let JAX work with `xarray`s. | ||
* `xarray_tree.py`: An implementation of tree.map_structure that works with | ||
`xarray`s. | ||
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### Dependencies. | ||
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[Chex](https://github.com/deepmind/chex), | ||
[Dask](https://github.com/dask/dask), | ||
[Haiku](https://github.com/deepmind/dm-haiku), | ||
[JAX](https://github.com/google/jax), | ||
[JAXline](https://github.com/deepmind/jaxline), | ||
[Jraph](https://github.com/deepmind/jraph), | ||
[Numpy](https://numpy.org/), | ||
[Pandas](https://pandas.pydata.org/), | ||
[Python](https://www.python.org/), | ||
[SciPy](https://scipy.org/), | ||
[Tree](https://github.com/deepmind/tree), | ||
[Trimesh](https://github.com/mikedh/trimesh) and | ||
[XArray](https://github.com/pydata/xarray). | ||
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### License and attribution | ||
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The Colab notebook and the associated code are licensed under the Apache | ||
License, Version 2.0. You may obtain a copy of the License at: | ||
https://www.apache.org/licenses/LICENSE-2.0. | ||
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The model weights are made available for use under the terms of the Creative | ||
Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International | ||
(CC BY-NC-SA 4.0). You may obtain a copy of the License at: | ||
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/. | ||
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The weights were trained on ECMWF's ERA5 and HRES data. The colab includes a few | ||
examples of ERA5 and HRES data that can be used as inputs to the models. | ||
ECMWF data product are subject to the following terms: | ||
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1. Copyright statement: Copyright "© 2023 European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF)". | ||
2. Source www.ecmwf.int | ||
3. Licence Statement: ECMWF data is published under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0). https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ | ||
4. Disclaimer: ECMWF does not accept any liability whatsoever for any error or omission in the data, their availability, or for any loss or damage arising from their use. | ||
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### Disclaimer | ||
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This is not an officially supported Google product. | ||
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Copyright 2023 DeepMind Technologies Limited. | ||
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### Citation | ||
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If you use this work, consider citing our [paper](https://arxiv.org/abs/2212.12794): | ||
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```latex | ||
@article{lam2022graphcast, | ||
title={GraphCast: Learning skillful medium-range global weather forecasting}, | ||
author={Remi Lam and Alvaro Sanchez-Gonzalez and Matthew Willson and Peter Wirnsberger and Meire Fortunato and Alexander Pritzel and Suman Ravuri and Timo Ewalds and Ferran Alet and Zach Eaton-Rosen and Weihua Hu and Alexander Merose and Stephan Hoyer and George Holland and Jacklynn Stott and Oriol Vinyals and Shakir Mohamed and Peter Battaglia}, | ||
year={2022}, | ||
eprint={2212.12794}, | ||
archivePrefix={arXiv}, | ||
primaryClass={cs.LG} | ||
} | ||
``` |
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