Experimental

.gitignore

@@ -198,3 +198,7 @@ input/input.mv.db.old
 input/input.mv.db.original
 dependency-reduced-pom.xml
 .idea/vcs.xml
+input/EUROMODoutput/augmented1/
+input/EUROMODoutput/original/
+*.stswp
+~$*.*

analysis/intertemporal elasticities.do

@@ -0,0 +1,90 @@
+/**************************************************************************************
+*
+*	PROGRAM TO EVALUATE INTERTEMPORAL ELASTICITIES OF SUBSTITUTION
+*
+*	Program analyses output from multirun config file: "config - intertemporal elasticity"
+*
+*	meta-analysis by Havranek, Horvath, Irsova, and Rusnak (2013) includes 34 studies that 
+*	report 242 estimates for the intertemporal elasticity of substitution calculated on UK data, 
+*	with a mean of 0.487 and a standard deviation of 1.09
+*
+*	Last version:  Justin van de Ven, 21 May 2024
+*	First version: Justin van de Ven, 21 May 2024
+*
+**************************************************************************************/
+
+clear all
+
+global moddir = "C:\MyFiles\99 DEV ENV\JAS-MINE\SimPaths\output\intertemp3\csv"
+global outdir = "C:\MyFiles\99 DEV ENV\temp\"
+
+
+/**************************************************************************************
+*	start
+**************************************************************************************/
+cd "$outdir"
+import delimited using "$moddir/BenefitUnit.csv"
+save temp0, replace
+
+
+/**************************************************************************************
+*	evaluate run statistics
+**************************************************************************************/
+forvalues ii = 1/3 {
+
+	use temp0, clear
+	keep if (run==`ii')
+	if (`ii'==1) {
+		sum id_benefitunit
+		local id0 = r(min)
+	} 
+	else {
+		sum id_benefitunit
+		local id1 = r(min)
+		replace id_benefitunit = id_benefitunit - `id1' + `id0'
+	}
+	xtset id_benefitunit time
+	gen eqs = disposableincomemonthly * 12 / equivaliseddisposableincomeyearl
+	gen tcons = discretionaryconsumptionperyear + (childcarecostperweek + socialcarecostperweek) * 364.25/7 
+	gen econs = tcons/eqs
+	gen lrecons`ii' = ln(econs / l.econs)
+	keep if (!missing(lrecons))
+	keep id_benefitunit lrecons idoriginalbu idoriginalhh
+	rename idoriginalbu idorigbu`ii'
+	rename idoriginalhh idorighh`ii'
+	save temp`ii', replace
+}
+
+
+/**************************************************************************************
+*	compile statistics over runs
+**************************************************************************************/
+use temp1, clear
+merge 1:1 id_benefitunit using temp2, keep(3) nogen
+merge 1:1 id_benefitunit using temp3, keep(3) nogen
+gen chk = (idorigbu1~=idorigbu2) | (idorigbu2~=idorigbu3) | (idorighh1~=idorighh2) | (idorighh2~=idorighh3)
+tab chk
+drop if (chk==1)
+drop chk idorigbu* idorighh*
+save temp4, replace
+
+
+/**************************************************************************************
+*	evaluate individual specific elasticities
+**************************************************************************************/
+use temp4, clear
+local r1 = 0.046	// starting average rate of return to saving (slight difference with cost of debt)
+local dr = 0.0075	// delta interest rate (from SimPathsMultiRun object)
+local lr1 = ln(1.0 + `r1')
+local lr2 = ln(1.0 + `r1' + `dr')
+local lr3 = ln(1.0 + `r1' - `dr')
+gen elas2 = (lrecons2 - lrecons1) / (`lr2' - `lr1')
+gen elas3 = (lrecons3 - lrecons1) / (`lr3' - `lr1')
+
+sum elas2
+local elas2 = r(mean)
+sum elas3
+local elas3 = r(mean)
+
+local elasAv = (`elas2' + `elas3') / 2.0
+disp `elasAv'

analysis/labour supply elasticities.do

@@ -0,0 +1,82 @@
+/**************************************************************************************
+*
+*	PROGRAM TO EVALUATE LABOUR SUPPLY ELASTICITIES
+*
+*	Program analyses output from multirun config file: "config - labour supply elasticity"
+*
+*	Review by Keane (2011) and meta analysis by Bargain and Peichl (2016) report typical 
+*	estimates for the Marshallian labour supply elasticity between -0.12 and 0.28
+*	
+*	Last version:  Justin van de Ven, 23 May 2024
+*	First version: Justin van de Ven, 23 May 2024
+*
+**************************************************************************************/
+
+clear all
+
+global moddir = "C:\MyFiles\99 DEV ENV\JAS-MINE\SimPaths\output\labsupply\csv"
+global outdir = "C:\MyFiles\99 DEV ENV\temp\"
+
+
+/**************************************************************************************
+*	start
+**************************************************************************************/
+cd "$outdir"
+import delimited using "$moddir/BenefitUnit.csv"
+save temp0, replace
+
+
+/**************************************************************************************
+*	evaluate run statistics
+**************************************************************************************/
+forvalues ii = 1/3 {
+
+	use temp0, clear
+	keep if (run==`ii')
+	if (`ii'==1) {
+		sum id_benefitunit
+		local id0 = r(min)
+	} 
+	else {
+		sum id_benefitunit
+		local id1 = r(min)
+		replace id_benefitunit = id_benefitunit - `id1' + `id0'
+	}
+	xtset id_benefitunit time
+	gen eqs = disposableincomemonthly * 12 / equivaliseddisposableincomeyearl
+	gen tcons = discretionaryconsumptionperyear + (childcarecostperweek + socialcarecostperweek) * 364.25/7 
+	gen econs = tcons/eqs
+	gen lrecons`ii' = ln(econs / l.econs)
+	keep if (!missing(lrecons))
+	keep id_benefitunit lrecons
+	save temp`ii', replace
+}
+
+
+/**************************************************************************************
+*	compile statistics over runs
+**************************************************************************************/
+use temp1, clear
+merge 1:1 id_benefitunit using temp2, keep(3) nogen
+merge 1:1 id_benefitunit using temp3, keep(3) nogen
+save temp4, replace
+
+
+/**************************************************************************************
+*	evaluate individual specific elasticities
+**************************************************************************************/
+local r1 = 0.046	// starting average rate of return to saving (slight difference with cost of debt)
+local dr = 0.005	// delta interest rate
+local lr1 = ln(1.0 + `r1')
+local lr2 = ln(1.0 + `r1' + `dr')
+local lr2 = ln(1.0 + `r1' - `dr')
+gen elas2 = (lrecons2 - lrecons1) / (`lr2' - `lr1')
+gen elas3 = (lrecons3 - lrecons1) / (`lr3' - `lr1')
+
+sum elas2
+local elas2 = r(mean)
+sum elas3
+local elas3 = r(mean)
+
+local elasAv = (`elas2' + `elas3') / 2.0
+disp `elasAv'

config/config - calibration.yml

@@ -0,0 +1,62 @@
+# This file can be used to override defaults for multirun arguments.
+# These will be overridden by command-line arguments
+
+maxNumberOfRuns: 1
+executeWithGui: false
+randomSeed: 606
+startYear: 2019
+endYear: 2020
+popSize: 170000
+
+# For arguments to pass to the SimPathsModel itself:
+# Current model defaults can be overridden by uncommenting/changing
+model_args:
+#    maxAge: 130
+#    fixTimeTrend: true
+#    timeTrendStopsIn: 2017
+#    fixRandomSeed: true
+#    sIndexTimeWindow: 5
+#    sIndexAlpha: 2
+#    sIndexDelta: 0
+#    savingRate: 0
+#    initialisePotentialEarningsFromDatabase: true
+#    useWeights: false
+#    useSBAMMatching:
+#    projectMortality: true
+#    alignFertility: true
+#    labourMarketCovid19On: false
+#    projectFormalChildcare: true
+#    donorPoolAveraging: true
+    alignEmployment: false
+    projectSocialCare: false
+    enableIntertemporalOptimisations: true
+    responsesToLowWageOffer: true
+    saveImperfectTaxDBMatches: false
+    useSavedBehaviour: false
+#    readGrid: "laptop serial"
+#    saveBehaviour: true
+#    employmentOptionsOfPrincipalWorker: 3
+#    employmentOptionsOfSecondaryWorker: 3
+#    responsesToEducation: true
+#    responsesToRetirement: false
+#    responsesToHealth: true
+#    responsesToDisability: false
+#    minAgeForPoorHealth: 50
+#    responsesToRegion: false
+
+innovation_args:
+#  randomSeedInnov: false
+#  intertemporalElasticityInnov: false
+#  labourSupplyElasticityInnov: true
+
+collector_args:
+#    calculateGiniCoefficients: false
+#    exportToDatabase: false
+#    exportToCSV: true
+#    persistStatistics: true
+#    persistStatistics2: true
+#    persistPersons: false
+#    persistBenefitUnits: false
+#    persistHouseholds: false
+#    dataDumpStartTime: 0L
+#    dataDumpTimePeriod: 1.0

config/config - intertemporal elasticity.yml

@@ -3,7 +3,7 @@
 
 maxNumberOfRuns: 3
 executeWithGui: false
-randomSeed: 12345
+randomSeed: 606
 startYear: 2019
 endYear: 2020
 popSize: 170000
@@ -23,15 +23,11 @@ model_args:
 #    useWeights: false
 #    useSBAMMatching:
 #    projectMortality: true
-#    alignFertility: true
 #    labourMarketCovid19On: false
 #    projectFormalChildcare: true
 #    donorPoolAveraging: true
-#    projectSocialCare: false
-#    enableIntertemporalOptimisations: false
 #    useSavedBehaviour: false
 #    readGrid: "laptop serial"
-#    saveBehaviour: true
 #    employmentOptionsOfPrincipalWorker: 3
 #    employmentOptionsOfSecondaryWorker: 3
 #    responsesToEducation: true
@@ -40,6 +36,17 @@ model_args:
 #    responsesToDisability: false
 #    minAgeForPoorHealth: 50
 #    responsesToRegion: false
+    alignPopulation: false
+    alignCohabitation: false
+    alignFertility: false
+    alignEducation: false
+    alignInSchool: false
+    alignEmployment: false
+    projectSocialCare: false
+    enableIntertemporalOptimisations: true
+    responsesToLowWageOffer: true
+    flagDefaultToTimeSeriesAverages: true
+    saveBehaviour: false
 
 innovation_args:
     randomSeedInnov: false
@@ -55,4 +62,4 @@ collector_args:
 #    persistBenefitUnits: false
 #    persistHouseholds: false
 #    dataDumpStartTime: 0L
-#    dataDumpTimePeriod: 1.0
+#    dataDumpTimePeriod: 1.0

config/config - labour supply elasticity.yml

@@ -0,0 +1,65 @@
+# This file can be used to override defaults for multirun arguments.
+# These will be overridden by command-line arguments
+
+maxNumberOfRuns: 3
+executeWithGui: false
+randomSeed: 606
+startYear: 2019
+endYear: 2020
+popSize: 170000
+
+# For arguments to pass to the SimPathsModel itself:
+# Current model defaults can be overridden by uncommenting/changing
+model_args:
+#    maxAge: 130
+#    fixTimeTrend: true
+#    timeTrendStopsIn: 2017
+#    fixRandomSeed: true
+#    sIndexTimeWindow: 5
+#    sIndexAlpha: 2
+#    sIndexDelta: 0
+#    savingRate: 0
+#    initialisePotentialEarningsFromDatabase: true
+#    useWeights: false
+#    useSBAMMatching:
+#    projectMortality: true
+#    labourMarketCovid19On: false
+#    projectFormalChildcare: true
+#    donorPoolAveraging: true
+#    useSavedBehaviour: false
+#    readGrid: "laptop serial"
+#    employmentOptionsOfPrincipalWorker: 3
+#    employmentOptionsOfSecondaryWorker: 3
+#    responsesToEducation: true
+#    responsesToRetirement: false
+#    responsesToHealth: true
+#    responsesToDisability: false
+#    minAgeForPoorHealth: 50
+#    responsesToRegion: false
+    alignPopulation: false
+    alignCohabitation: false
+    alignFertility: false
+    alignEducation: false
+    alignInSchool: false
+    alignEmployment: false
+    projectSocialCare: false
+    enableIntertemporalOptimisations: true
+    responsesToLowWageOffer: true
+    flagDefaultToTimeSeriesAverages: true
+    saveBehaviour: false
+
+innovation_args:
+    randomSeedInnov: false
+    labourSupplyElasticityInnov: true
+
+collector_args:
+#    calculateGiniCoefficients: false
+#    exportToDatabase: false
+#    exportToCSV: true
+#    persistStatistics: true
+#    persistStatistics2: true
+#    persistPersons: false
+#    persistBenefitUnits: false
+#    persistHouseholds: false
+#    dataDumpStartTime: 0L
+#    dataDumpTimePeriod: 1.0