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Research compendium for ‘Sensitivity of Radiocarbon Sum Calibration’

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MartinHinz/sensitivity.sumcal.article.2020

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Research compendium for ‘Sensitivity of Radiocarbon Sum Calibration’

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This repository contains the data and code for the paper:

Hinz, (2020). Sensitivity of Radiocarbon Sum Calibration. Zenodo https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.3613674

The pre-print is online here:

Hinz, (2020). Sensitivity of Radiocarbon Sum Calibration. SocArXiv, Accessed 20 Jan 2020. Online at https://osf.io/preprints/socarxiv/bgvk6

Author

ORCiD Martin Hinz ([email protected])

Abstract

Sum calibration has become a standard tool for demographic studies, even though the methodology itself is far from uncontroversial. In addition to fundamental methodological criticism, questions are frequently raised about the sample size and data density required to detect large-scale changes in past populations. This article uses a simulation approach to determine the detection probabilities for events of varying intensity and with varying data density. At the same time, the effectiveness of Monte Carlo-based confidence envelopes as a countermeasure against false-positive results is tested. The results show that the detection of such events is not unlikely and that the Monte Carlo method is well suited to separate signal and noise. However, the nature of the events already observed in this way demands further assessment.

Highlights

  • Simulations used to evaluate the possibility of reconstructing prehistoric demography from 14C data
  • Random sampling of 14C data using given probability distributions
  • Test the sensitivity of a summed 14C proxy curve to population fluctuations
  • Demographic signals can be separated from noise in summed 14C distributions using appropriate techniques

Keywords

Prehistoric demography; Summed radiocarbon date distributions; Simulation; Calibration; Population proxies

How to cite

Please cite this compendium as:

Hinz, (2020). Compendium of R code and data for Sensitivity of Radiocarbon Sum Calibration. Accessed 20 Jan 2020. Online at https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.3613674

How to download or install

You can download the compendium as a zip from from this URL: https://github.com/MartinHinz/sensitivity.sumcal.article.2020/archive/master.zip

Or you can install this compendium as an R package, sensitivity.sumcal.article.2020, from GitHub with:

# install.packages("devtools")
remotes::install_github("MartinHinz/sensitivity.sumcal.article.2020")

Overview of contents:

This repository contains text, code and data for the paper. The analysis directory contains paper and data to reproduce the preparations, calculations and figure renderings. The paper directory contains the text for the paper in .Rmd format, and rendered versions as pdf, html and docx. It also contains a directory result_data which holds the results from the submitted version of the paper.

How to reproduce:

As the data and code in this repository are complete and self-contained, it can be reproduced with any R environment (> version 3.5.0). The necessary package dependencies are documented in the DESCRIPTION file and can be installed manually or automatically with devtools::install().

The simulation can then be run using the run_simulation() command. The total run time was 94480 seconds or 26 hours and 15 minutes (using parallel computing on 6 cores of an Intel(R) Xeon(R) CPU E3-1240 v5 at 3.50GHz with 16 GB RAM).

Licenses

Text and figures : CC-BY-4.0

Code : See the DESCRIPTION file

Data : CC-0 attribution requested in reuse

Contributions

We welcome contributions from everyone. Before you get started, please see our contributor guidelines. Please note that this project is released with a Contributor Code of Conduct. By participating in this project you agree to abide by its terms.

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Research compendium for ‘Sensitivity of Radiocarbon Sum Calibration’

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