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got results of single-MSE optim runs
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ptrscll committed Jun 26, 2024
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47 changes: 47 additions & 0 deletions results/only_CO2.txt
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parameters values
beta 0.345007750594335
q10_rh 2.51138174655301
diff 1.14341924905439
S 4.28574861619889
alpha 2.63322316338636

Objective Function Value: 2.62
Counts: 163
Counts: 163
Convergence: 0
Messages: CONVERGENCE: REL_REDUCTION_OF_F <= FACTR*EPSMCH

CO2 MSE: 2.62
T MSE: 0.76
RMSE: 1.62
T MSE accounting for unc: 0.587
OHC MSE accounting for unc: 46500

***Key Metrics***
TCRE: 2.45
TCR: 2.48

***Historical Warming and ERF***
GSAT Warming: -0.575
Ocean Heat Content Change: -29.9
Total Aerosol ERF: -1.24
WMGHG ERF: 3.92
Methane ERF: 0.532

***Future Warming***
scenario start end GSAT
ssp119 2021 2040 1.58
ssp119 2041 2060 2.34
ssp119 2081 2100 2.55
ssp126 2021 2040 1.53
ssp126 2041 2060 2.53
ssp126 2081 2100 3.17
ssp245 2021 2040 1.35
ssp245 2041 2060 2.39
ssp245 2081 2100 4.03
ssp370 2021 2040 1.21
ssp370 2041 2060 2.2
ssp370 2081 2100 4.58
ssp585 2021 2040 1.65
ssp585 2041 2060 3.18
ssp585 2081 2100 6.55
47 changes: 47 additions & 0 deletions results/only_OHC.txt
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parameters values
beta 0.537736488380451
q10_rh 1.76
diff 1.26924979875569
S 2.96192583593624
alpha 1.07684594297377

Objective Function Value: 0
Counts: 50
Counts: 50
Convergence: 52
Messages: ERROR: ABNORMAL_TERMINATION_IN_LNSRCH

CO2 MSE: 3.9
T MSE: 0.0437
RMSE: 1.98
T MSE accounting for unc: 0.0154
OHC MSE accounting for unc: 0

***Key Metrics***
TCRE: 1.59
TCR: 1.93

***Historical Warming and ERF***
GSAT Warming: 0.741
Ocean Heat Content Change: 390
Total Aerosol ERF: -1.24
WMGHG ERF: 3.88
Methane ERF: 0.54

***Future Warming***
scenario start end GSAT
ssp119 2021 2040 0.818
ssp119 2041 2060 0.988
ssp119 2081 2100 0.763
ssp126 2021 2040 0.832
ssp126 2041 2060 1.2
ssp126 2081 2100 1.18
ssp245 2021 2040 0.831
ssp245 2041 2060 1.41
ssp245 2081 2100 2.14
ssp370 2021 2040 0.837
ssp370 2041 2060 1.56
ssp370 2081 2100 3.18
ssp585 2021 2040 0.98
ssp585 2041 2060 1.93
ssp585 2081 2100 4.14
47 changes: 47 additions & 0 deletions results/only_T.txt
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parameters values
beta 0.651707169999549
q10_rh 1.76
diff 1.042
S 2.50476947896062
alpha 0.440119271611972

Objective Function Value: 0.00247
Counts: 83
Counts: 83
Convergence: 52
Messages: ERROR: ABNORMAL_TERMINATION_IN_LNSRCH

CO2 MSE: 8.45
T MSE: 0.0127
RMSE: 2.91
T MSE accounting for unc: 0.00247
OHC MSE accounting for unc: 71.1

***Key Metrics***
TCRE: 1.32
TCR: 1.76

***Historical Warming and ERF***
GSAT Warming: 1.07
Ocean Heat Content Change: 448
Total Aerosol ERF: -1.24
WMGHG ERF: 3.79
Methane ERF: 0.547

***Future Warming***
scenario start end GSAT
ssp119 2021 2040 0.55
ssp119 2041 2060 0.537
ssp119 2081 2100 0.184
ssp126 2021 2040 0.585
ssp126 2041 2060 0.749
ssp126 2081 2100 0.542
ssp245 2021 2040 0.646
ssp245 2041 2060 1.07
ssp245 2081 2100 1.52
ssp370 2021 2040 0.698
ssp370 2041 2060 1.32
ssp370 2081 2100 2.69
ssp585 2021 2040 0.747
ssp585 2041 2060 1.52
ssp585 2081 2100 3.38

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