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Fast statistical inference for climate projections with INLA

This is a collection of small research reports I produced during a 3 month project funded by the ReCoVER network.

Projects

  • INLA from scratch: In this project I am implementing the INLA methodology for Bayesian inference from scratch, i.e. without using the R-package.

  • Global mean surface temperatures: I have used R-INLA to predict future global mean temperature from an ensemble of climate model runs and historical temperature observations.

  • Storm track density analysis: work in progress

  • Linear regression on a spatial grid: I show how a Laplace approximation can be used to fit linear regression models over a spatial grid, under the assumption that the fields of regression parameters are realisations of smooth spatial processes.

Misc