diff --git a/docs/about.rst b/docs/about.rst index 28f7d3525..561f87bdb 100644 --- a/docs/about.rst +++ b/docs/about.rst @@ -50,12 +50,27 @@ Modeling concept and scenarios =============================== eGon-data provides a data model suitable for calculations and optimizations with the tools eTraGo, eDisGo and eGo and therefore aims to satisfy all requirements regarding the scope and temporal as well as spatial granularity of the resulting data model. + + + +System boundaries and general assumptions +----------------------------------------- + +* Sectors +* Focus on Germany +* Neighbouring countries (which ones and why) +* Spatial resolution / aggregartion levels +* Temporal resolution incl. assumptions on weather year + The following image visualizes the different components considered in scenario ``eGon2035``. .. image:: images/egon-modell-szenario-egon2035.png :width: 800 :alt: Components of the data models +Scenarios +--------- + eGon-data aims to create different scenarios, which differ in terms of RE penetration or the availability of flexibility options. Currently, the following scenarios are available or in progress. * ``eGon2035`` Mid-termin scenario based on assumptions from the German network expansion plan 'scenario C2035', version 2021 and TYNDP diff --git a/docs/data.rst b/docs/data.rst index 4bbf47357..b529e7938 100644 --- a/docs/data.rst +++ b/docs/data.rst @@ -87,7 +87,7 @@ Different flexibility options are part of the model and can be utilized in the o flexibility potentials and their distribution are needed. The considered technologies described in the following chapters range from different storage units, through dynamic line rating to Demand-Side-Management measures. -Demand-Side-Management +Demand-Side Management ---------------------- .. include:: data/DSM.rst diff --git a/docs/data/DSM.rst b/docs/data/DSM.rst index 79d4a96ef..e1a114b53 100644 --- a/docs/data/DSM.rst +++ b/docs/data/DSM.rst @@ -1 +1,50 @@ -How did we implement DSM? Results etc. +Demand-side management (DSM) potentials are calculated in function :func:`dsm_cts_ind_processing`. +Potentials relevant for the high and extra-high voltage grid are identified in the function :func:`dsm_cts_ind`, +potentials within the medium- and low-voltage grids are determined within the function :func:`dsm_cts_ind_individual` +in a higher spatial resolution. All this is part of the dataset :py:class:`DsmPotential `. +The implementation is documented in detail within the following student work (in German): [EsterlDentzien]_. + +Loads eligible to be shifted are assumed within industrial loads and loads from Commercial, Trade and Service (CTS). +Therefore, load time series from these sectors are used as input data (see section ref:`elec_demand-ref`). +Shiftable shares of loads mainly derive from heating and cooling processes and selected energy-intensive +industrial processes (cement production, wood pulp, paper production, recycling paper). Technical and sociotechnical +constraints are considered using the parametrization elaborated in [Heitkoetter]_. An overview over the +resulting potentials for scenario ``eGon2035`` can be seen in figure :ref:`dsm_potential`. The table below summarizes the +aggregated potential for Germany per scenario. As the annual conventional electrical loads are assumed to be lower in the +scenario ``eGon100RE``, also the DSM potential decreases compared to the scenario ``eGon2035``. + +.. figure:: /images/DSM_potential.png + :name: dsm_potential + :width: 600 + + Aggregated DSM potential in Germany for scenario ``eGon2035`` + +.. list-table:: Aggregated DSM Potential for Germany + :widths: 20 20 20 + :header-rows: 1 + + * - + - CTS + - Industry + + * - eGon2035 + - 1.2 GW + - 150 MW + + * - eGon100RE + - 900 MW + - 150 MW + +DSM is modelled following the approach of [Kleinhans]_. DSM components are created wherever +respective loads are seen. Minimum and maximum shiftable power per time step depict time-dependent +charging and discharging power of a storage-equivalent buffers. Time-dependent capacities +of those buffers account for the time frame of management bounding the period within which +the shifting can be conducted. Figure :ref:`dsm_shifted_p-example` shows the resulting potential at one exemplary bus. + +.. figure:: /images/shifted_dsm-example.png + :name: dsm_shifted_p-example + :width: 600 + + Time-dependent DSM potential at one exemplary bus + + diff --git a/docs/data/electricity_demand.rst b/docs/data/electricity_demand.rst index d375e954c..3e82adbe2 100644 --- a/docs/data/electricity_demand.rst +++ b/docs/data/electricity_demand.rst @@ -1 +1,91 @@ -Information about electricity demands and their spatial and temporal aggregation +.. _elec_demand_ref: +The electricity demand considered includes demand from the residential, commercial and industrial sector. +The target values for scenario *eGon2035* are taken from the German grid development plan from 2021 [NEP2021]_, +whereas the distribution on NUTS3-levels corresponds to the data from the research project *DemandRegio* [demandregio]_. +The following table lists the electricity demands per sector: + +.. list-table:: Electricity demand per sector + :widths: 25 50 + :header-rows: 1 + + * - Sector + - Annual electricity demand in TWh + * - residential + - 115.1 + * - commercial + - 123.5 + * - industrial + - 259.5 + +A further spatial and temporal distribution of the electricity demand is needed to fullfil all requirements of the +subsequent grid optimization. Therefore different, sector-specific distributions methods were developed and applied. + +Residential electricity demand +~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ + +The annual electricity demands of households on NUTS3-level from *DemandRegio* are scaled to meet the national target +values for the respective scenario in dataset :py:class:`DemandRegio `. +A further spatial and temporal distribution of residential electricity demands is performed in +:py:class:`HouseholdElectricityDemand ` as described +in [Buettner2022]_. +The result is a consistent dataset across aggregation levels with an hourly resolution. + +.. figure:: /images/S27-3.png + :name: spatial_distribution_electricity_demand + :width: 400 + + Electricity demand on NUTS 3-level (upper left); Exemplary MVGD (upper right); Study region in Flensburg (20 Census cells, bottom) from [Buettner2022]_ + + +.. figure:: /images/S27-4a.png + :name: aggregation_level_electricity_demand + :width: 400 + + Electricity demand time series on different aggregation levels from [Buettner2022]_ + + + +Commercial electricity demand +~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ + +The distribution of electricity demand from the commercial, trade and service (CTS) sector is also based on data from +*DemandRegio*, which provides annual electricity demands on NUTS3-level for Germany. In dataset +:py:class:`CtsElectricityDemand ` the annual electricity +demands are further distributed to census cells (100x100m cells from [Census]_) based on the distribution of heat demands, +which is taken from the Pan-European Thermal Altlas version 5.0.1 [Peta]_. For further information refer to section +ref:`heat_demand`. +The applied methods for a futher spatial and temporal distribution to buildings is described in [Buettner2022]_ and +performed in dataset :py:class:`CtsDemandBuildings ` + +Industrial electricity demand +~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ + +To distribute the annual industrial electricity demand OSM landuse data as well as information on industrial sites are +taken into account. +In a first step (:py:class:`CtsElectricityDemand `) +different sources providing information about specific sites and further information on the industry sector in which +the respective industrial site operates are combined. Here, the three data sources [Hotmaps]_, [sEEnergies]_ and +[Schmidt2018]_ are aligned and joined. +Based on the resulting list of industrial sites in Germany and information on industrial landuse areas from OSM [OSM]_ +which where extracted and processed in :py:class:`OsmLanduse ` the annual demands +were distributed. +The spatial and temporal distribution is performed in +:py:class:`IndustrialDemandCurves `. +For the spatial distribution of annual electricity demands from *DemandRegio* [demandregio]_ which are available on +NUTS3-level are in a first step evenly split 50/50 between industrial sites and OSM-polygons tagged as industrial areas. +Per NUTS-3 area the respective shares are then distributed linearily based on the area of the corresponding landuse polygons +and evenly to the identified industrial sites. +In a next step the temporal disaggregation of the annual demands is carried out taking information about the industrial +sectors and sector-specific standard load profiles from [demandregio]_ into account. +Based on the resulting time series and their peak loads the corresponding grid level and grid connections point is +identified. + +Electricity demand in neighbouring countries +~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ + +The neighbouring countries considered in the model are represented in a lower spatial resolution of one or two buses per +country. The national demand timeseries in an hourly resolution of the respective countries is taken from the Ten-Year +Network Development Plan, Version 2020 [TYNDP]_. In case no data for the target year is available the data is is +interpolated linearly. +Refer to the corresponding dataset for detailed information: +:py:class:`ElectricalNeighbours ` diff --git a/docs/data/electricity_grids.rst b/docs/data/electricity_grids.rst index 0d288e836..8c94693c8 100644 --- a/docs/data/electricity_grids.rst +++ b/docs/data/electricity_grids.rst @@ -3,18 +3,32 @@ High and extra-high voltage grids ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ -The model of the German extra-high (eHV) and high voltage (HV) grid is based -on data retrieved from OpenStreetMap (status January 2021) [OSM]_ and additional -parameters for standard transmission lines from [Brakelmann2004]_. To gather all -required information, such as line topology, voltage level, substation locations, -and electrical parameters, to create a calculable power system model, the `osmTGmod -tool `_ was used. The corresponding dataset -:py:class:`Osmtgmod ` executes osmTGmod +The model of the German extra-high (eHV) and high voltage (HV) grid is based +on data retrieved from OpenStreetMap (OSM) (status January 2021) [OSM]_ and additional +parameters for standard transmission lines from [Brakelmann2004]_. To gather all +required information, such as line topology, voltage level, substation locations, +and electrical parameters, to create a calculable power system model, the `*osmTGmod* +tool `_ was used. The corresponding dataset +:py:class:`Osmtgmod ` executes osmTGmod and writes the resulting data to the database. The resulting grid model includes the voltage levels 380, 220 and 110 kV and -all substations interconnecting these grid levels. For further information on the -generation of the grid topology please refer to [Mueller2018]_. +all substations interconnecting the different grid levels. Information about +border crossing lines are as well extracted from *OSM* data by *osmTGmod*. +For further information on the generation of the grid topology please refer to [Mueller2018]_. +The neighbouring countries are included in the model in a significantly lower +spatial resolution with one or two nodes per country. The border crossing lines +extracted by *osmTGmod* are extended to representative nodes of the respective +country in dataset +:py:class:`ElectricalNeighbours `. The +resulting grid topology is shown in the following figure. + +..figure:: images/Stromnetz.png + :scale: 50 % + :name: gridtopology_ehv_hv + :alt: Grid topology extra-high and high voltage grid + + .. _ding0-grids: diff --git a/docs/data/electricity_supply.rst b/docs/data/electricity_supply.rst index fffd7379c..d7486355b 100644 --- a/docs/data/electricity_supply.rst +++ b/docs/data/electricity_supply.rst @@ -25,7 +25,27 @@ Offshore wind PV ground mounted ++++++++++++++++++ -.. _pv-rooftop-ref: +The distribution of PV ground mounted is implemented in function :func:`insert` +which is part of the dataset :class:`PowerPlants`. +The following steps are conducted: + +#. The sites and capacities of exisitng PV parks are imported using MaStR data (see :ref:`mastr-ref`). + +#. Potential areas for PV ground mounted are assumed to be areas next to highways and railways as well as on agricultural land with a low degree of utilisation, as it can be seen in figure :ref:`pv_ground_mounted-example`. Those areas (provided through the data bundle, see :ref:`data-bundle-ref`) are imported while merging or disgarding small areas. + +#. The locations of existing parks and the potential areas are intersected with each other while considering a buffer around the locations of existing parks to find out where there already are parks at or close to potential areas. This results in a selection of potential areas. + +#. The capacities of the existing parks are considered and compared to the target values for the specific scenario per federal state (see :ref:`concept-and-scenarios-ref`). The required expansion capacity is derived. + +#. If expansion of PV ground mounted capacity is required, capacities are calculated depending on the area size of the formerly selected potential areas. The resulting parks are therefore located on the selected potential areas. + +#. The resulting capacities are compared to the target values for the specific scenario per federal state. If the target value is exceeded, a linear downscaling is conducted. If the target value is not reached yet, the remaining capacity is distributed linearly among the rest of the potential areas within the state. + +.. figure:: /images/PV_freiflaeche.png + :name: pv_ground_mounted-example + :width: 400 + + Example: sites of existing PV ground mounted parks and potential areas PV rooftop +++++++++++ @@ -83,6 +103,45 @@ Disaggregation of PV rooftop scenario capacities: using MaStR data as basis. Hydro -++++++ ++++++ + +In the case of hydropower plants, a distinction is made between the carrier run-of-river +and reservoir. +The methods to distribute and allocate are the same for both carriers. +In a first step all suitable power plants (correct carrier, valid geolocation, information +about federal state) are selected and their installed capacity is scaled to meet the target +values for the respective federal state and scenario. +Information about the voltage level the power plants are connected to is obtained. In case +no information is availabe the voltage level is identified using threshold values for the +installed capacity (see :func:`assign_voltage_level `). +In a next step the correct grid connection point is identified based on the voltage level +and geolocation of the power plants (see :func:`assign_bus_id `) +The resulting list of power plants it added to table +:py:class:`EgonPowerPlants `. + +Biomass ++++++++ + +The allocation of biomass-based power plants follows the same method as the one for hydro +power plants and is performed in function :func:`insert_biomass_plants ` + + + +Conventional +++++++++++++ + +**CHP** + + +**non-chp** + + +In function :func:`allocate_conventional_non_chp_power_plants ` +capacities for conventional power plants, which are no chp plants, with carrier *oil* and +*gas* are allocated. + + + + diff --git a/docs/data/heat_demand.rst b/docs/data/heat_demand.rst index 6e004ae28..d03dac90c 100644 --- a/docs/data/heat_demand.rst +++ b/docs/data/heat_demand.rst @@ -1,4 +1,5 @@ -Heat demands comprise space heating and dirinking hot water demands from +.. _heat_demand: +Heat demands comprise space heating and drinking hot water demands from residential and comertial trade and service (CTS) buildings. Process heat demands from the industry are, depending on the required temperature level, modelled as electrcity, hydrogen or methane demand. diff --git a/docs/images/DSM_potential.png b/docs/images/DSM_potential.png new file mode 100644 index 000000000..1312cfda0 Binary files /dev/null and b/docs/images/DSM_potential.png differ diff --git a/docs/images/PV_freiflaeche.png b/docs/images/PV_freiflaeche.png new file mode 100644 index 000000000..353f25c83 Binary files /dev/null and b/docs/images/PV_freiflaeche.png differ diff --git a/docs/images/Stromnetz.png b/docs/images/Stromnetz.png new file mode 100644 index 000000000..47034f110 Binary files /dev/null and b/docs/images/Stromnetz.png differ diff --git a/docs/images/shifted_dsm-example.png b/docs/images/shifted_dsm-example.png new file mode 100644 index 000000000..2ca2622b4 Binary files /dev/null and b/docs/images/shifted_dsm-example.png differ diff --git a/docs/literature.rst b/docs/literature.rst index e44a0dc0f..9bb2b9fff 100644 --- a/docs/literature.rst +++ b/docs/literature.rst @@ -16,16 +16,24 @@ Literature .. [Energiereferenzprognose] Prognos AG, Energiewirtschaftliches Institut an der Universität zu Köln, Gesellschaft für Wirtschaftliche Strukturforschung mbH: Entwicklung der Energiemärkte – Energiereferenzprognose (2014) +.. [EsterlDentzien] Katharina Esterl, Hannah Dentzien, Integration von Demand Side Management in eTraGo, Student Work, Hochschule Flensburg, URL https://ego-n.org/theses/2021_SP_Esterl_Dentzien_DSM-eTraGo.pdf + .. [eXtremOS] A. Guminski, C. Fiedler, S. Kigle, C. Pellinger, P. Dossow, K. Ganz, F. Jetter, T. Kern, T. Limmer, A. Murmann, J. Reinhard, T. Schmid, T. Schmidt-Achert, S. von Roon, eXtremOS Summary Report (2021). doi:https://doi.org/10.34805/ffe-24-21. .. [FfE2017] Flexibilisierung der Kraft-Wärme-Kopplung; 2017; Forschungsstelle für Energiewirtschaft e.V. (FfE) +.. [Heitkoetter] Wilko Heitkoetter, Bruno U. Schyska, Danielle Schmidt, Wided Medjroubi, Thomas Vogt, Carsten Agert, Assessment of the regionalised demand response potential in Germany using an open source tool and dataset, Advances in Applied Energy (2021), URL https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666792420300019 + .. [Helfenbein2021] K. Helfenbein, Analyse des Einflusses netzdienlicher Ladestrategien auf Verteilnetze aufgrund der zunehmenden Netzintegration von Elektrofahrzeugen, Master’s thesis, Hochschule für Technik und Wirtschaft Berlin, URL https://reiner-lemoine-institut.de/analyse-einflussesnetzdienlicher-ladestrategien-verteilnetze-zunehmender-netzintegration-elektrofahrzeugen-helfenbein-2021/ .. [Hotmaps] S. Pezzutto, S. Zambotti, S. Croce, P. Zambelli, G. Garegnani, C. Scaramuzzino, R. P. Pascuas, A. Zubaryeva, F. Haas, D. Exner, A. Mueller, M. Hartner, T. Fleiter, A.-L. Klingler, M. Kuehnbach, P. Manz, S. Marwitz, M. Rehfeldt, J. Steinbach, E. Popovski, Hotmaps project, d2.3 wp2 report – open data set for the eu28 (2018). URL www.hotmaps-project.eu .. [Huelk2017] L. Hülk, L. Wienholt, I. Cußmann, U.P. Müller, C. Matke, E. Kötter, Allocation of annual electricity consumption and power generation capacities across multiple voltage levels in a high spatial resolution, International Journal of Sustainable Energy Planning and Management Vol. 13 2017 79–92. URL https://journals.aau.dk/index.php/sepm/article/view/1833 +.. [Kleinhans] D. Kleinhans, Towards a systematic characterization of the potential of demand side management, arXiv (2014), doi: 10.48550/ARXIV.1401.4121. URL https://arxiv.org/abs/1401.4121 + +.. [MaStR] Bundesnetzagentur für Elektrizität, Gas, Telekommunikation, Post und Eisenbahnen, Marktstammdatenregister - Datendownload (Nov. 2022). URL https://www.marktstammdatenregister.de/MaStR/Datendownload + .. [MiD2017] Bundesministerium für Digitales und Verkehr, Mobilität in Deutschland 2017 (2017). URL https://daten.clearingstelle-verkehr.de/279/ .. [Mueller2018] U. Mueller, L. Wienholt, D. Kleinhans, I. Cussmann, W.-D. Bunke, G. Pleßmann, J. Wendiggensen 2018 J. Phys.: Conf. Ser. 977 012003, DOI 10.1088/1742-6596/977/1/012003 @@ -43,3 +51,5 @@ Literature .. [Schmidt2018] D. Schmidt, Supplementary material to the masters thesis: NUTS-3 Regionalization of Industrial Load Shifting Potential in Germany using a Time-Resolved Model (Nov. 2019). doi:10.5281/zenodo.3613767. URL https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.3613767 .. [sEEnergies] T. Fleiter, P. Manz, N. Neuwirth, F. Mildner, K. Persson, U.AND Kermeli, W. Crijns-Graus, C. Rutten, seenergies d5.1 dataset web-app.seenergies arcgis online web-apps hosted by europa-universität flensburg (2020). URL https://tinyurl.com/sEEnergies-D5-1 + +.. [TYNDP] European Network of Transmission System Operators for Electricity, European Network of Transmission System Operators for Gas, Ten-Year Network Development Plans - “TYNDP 2020 Scenarios” (2020)