From 2acd769dafa5cda398795950f20958e695de0796 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: ValeriaMarras Date: Tue, 12 Nov 2024 11:33:20 +0100 Subject: [PATCH 1/3] Create ISI-SEIR_BRW.yml --- model-metadata/ISI-SEIR_BRW.yml | 12 ++++++++++++ 1 file changed, 12 insertions(+) create mode 100644 model-metadata/ISI-SEIR_BRW.yml diff --git a/model-metadata/ISI-SEIR_BRW.yml b/model-metadata/ISI-SEIR_BRW.yml new file mode 100644 index 0000000..5821c41 --- /dev/null +++ b/model-metadata/ISI-SEIR_BRW.yml @@ -0,0 +1,12 @@ +team_name: ISI Foundation +model_name: SEIR_BRW +team_abbr: ISI +model_abbr: SEIR_BRW +model_contributors: + - name: Valeria Marras + affiliation: ISI Foundation + email: valeria.marras@isi.it +team_model_designation: secondary +methods: SEIR Beta Random Walks is a stochastic compartmental model with random variations in the transmission rate, that provides short-term incidence forecasts. +data_inputs: ECDC ERVISS +license: CC-BY-4.0 From 0c959b68ca7920153781f31d06f38fb4ce42759b Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: ValeriaMarras Date: Tue, 12 Nov 2024 12:31:25 +0100 Subject: [PATCH 2/3] Create placeholder.csv --- model-output/ISI-SEIR_BRW/placeholder.csv | 1 + 1 file changed, 1 insertion(+) create mode 100644 model-output/ISI-SEIR_BRW/placeholder.csv diff --git a/model-output/ISI-SEIR_BRW/placeholder.csv b/model-output/ISI-SEIR_BRW/placeholder.csv new file mode 100644 index 0000000..8b13789 --- /dev/null +++ b/model-output/ISI-SEIR_BRW/placeholder.csv @@ -0,0 +1 @@ + From 6b0e1672046489fdc7a5181efaedca2a07e7c462 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: ValeriaMarras Date: Wed, 13 Nov 2024 17:15:01 +0100 Subject: [PATCH 3/3] 2024-11-13-ISI-SEIR_BRW.csv --- .../ISI-SEIR_BRW/2024-11-13-ISI-SEIR_BRW.csv | 1441 +++++++++++++++++ 1 file changed, 1441 insertions(+) create mode 100644 model-output/ISI-SEIR_BRW/2024-11-13-ISI-SEIR_BRW.csv diff --git a/model-output/ISI-SEIR_BRW/2024-11-13-ISI-SEIR_BRW.csv b/model-output/ISI-SEIR_BRW/2024-11-13-ISI-SEIR_BRW.csv new file mode 100644 index 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admissions,2024-11-17,2,GR,quantile,0.9,721.6811628561702 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-24,3,GR,quantile,0.9,782.5437973128536 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-12-01,4,GR,quantile,0.9,867.4112008499782 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-10-27,-1,GR,quantile,0.95,635.539662350044 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-03,0,GR,quantile,0.95,660.8665722923221 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-10,1,GR,quantile,0.95,734.1658796211057 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-17,2,GR,quantile,0.95,813.209895032418 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-24,3,GR,quantile,0.95,906.4294011985018 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-12-01,4,GR,quantile,0.95,1057.9986967239429 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-10-27,-1,GR,quantile,0.975,642.4403856575938 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-03,0,GR,quantile,0.975,678.8554103709839 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-10,1,GR,quantile,0.975,755.9696138242134 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-17,2,GR,quantile,0.975,863.6368574631373 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-24,3,GR,quantile,0.975,990.756198478933 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-12-01,4,GR,quantile,0.975,1158.914286010728 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-10-27,-1,GR,quantile,0.99,662.8192687067391 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-03,0,GR,quantile,0.99,710.2452905437816 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-10,1,GR,quantile,0.99,772.8308912210488 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-17,2,GR,quantile,0.99,887.5740481328578 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-24,3,GR,quantile,0.99,1059.8325107727258 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-12-01,4,GR,quantile,0.99,1268.569447300155 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-10-27,-1,GR,median,,578.4622529792001 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-03,0,GR,median,,553.6058441202289 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-10,1,GR,median,,533.2553737419823 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-17,2,GR,median,,515.0084992140099 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admissions,2024-11-24,3,HU,quantile,0.1,88.71621040667274 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-12-01,4,HU,quantile,0.1,81.2431291267309 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-10-27,-1,HU,quantile,0.15,97.15454586939804 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-03,0,HU,quantile,0.15,96.58365362249648 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-10,1,HU,quantile,0.15,97.88811769012828 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-17,2,HU,quantile,0.15,99.50910384335688 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-24,3,HU,quantile,0.15,95.3353747627548 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-12-01,4,HU,quantile,0.15,91.11362944370735 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-10-27,-1,HU,quantile,0.2,100.12945940898332 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-03,0,HU,quantile,0.2,103.301116799796 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-10,1,HU,quantile,0.2,103.5933471735833 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-17,2,HU,quantile,0.2,103.09893338580484 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-24,3,HU,quantile,0.2,102.2805285852336 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-12-01,4,HU,quantile,0.2,97.35309608121668 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-10-27,-1,HU,quantile,0.25,102.45587395038456 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-03,0,HU,quantile,0.25,107.31462494380374 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-10,1,HU,quantile,0.25,110.01902676625676 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-17,2,HU,quantile,0.25,108.77086645803811 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-24,3,HU,quantile,0.25,108.75184496118789 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-12-01,4,HU,quantile,0.25,108.49808969277989 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-10-27,-1,HU,quantile,0.3,106.8354775493266 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-03,0,HU,quantile,0.3,110.32811123655576 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-10,1,HU,quantile,0.3,114.08619558027546 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-17,2,HU,quantile,0.3,115.903329739234 +2024-11-13,hospital 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admissions,2024-11-24,3,SK,quantile,0.25,28.955498495800253 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-12-01,4,SK,quantile,0.25,24.264666419788096 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-10-27,-1,SK,quantile,0.3,54.98977219167365 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-03,0,SK,quantile,0.3,49.33082485850567 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-10,1,SK,quantile,0.3,43.91033779376719 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-17,2,SK,quantile,0.3,38.7414945097424 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-24,3,SK,quantile,0.3,33.46980215243696 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-12-01,4,SK,quantile,0.3,29.004403150336085 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-10-27,-1,SK,quantile,0.35,56.252684861868126 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-03,0,SK,quantile,0.35,51.52110392607033 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-10,1,SK,quantile,0.35,45.78054231237121 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-17,2,SK,quantile,0.35,40.39041969332694 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-24,3,SK,quantile,0.35,35.778961381652124 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-12-01,4,SK,quantile,0.35,31.909787345170376 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-10-27,-1,SK,quantile,0.4,58.54753868164428 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-03,0,SK,quantile,0.4,53.12204257776362 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-10,1,SK,quantile,0.4,47.70380851692254 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-17,2,SK,quantile,0.4,41.94403927989437 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-24,3,SK,quantile,0.4,38.30177579034519 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-12-01,4,SK,quantile,0.4,34.797376895922106 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-10-27,-1,SK,quantile,0.45,60.20730690882192 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-03,0,SK,quantile,0.45,54.42467394186034 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-10,1,SK,quantile,0.45,49.11457935652247 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-17,2,SK,quantile,0.45,43.78501671981566 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-24,3,SK,quantile,0.45,40.03558842402999 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-12-01,4,SK,quantile,0.45,37.22469055900583 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-10-27,-1,SK,quantile,0.5,61.18164288622626 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-03,0,SK,quantile,0.5,55.428934293541325 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-10,1,SK,quantile,0.5,50.74728553993295 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-17,2,SK,quantile,0.5,47.872372482188176 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-24,3,SK,quantile,0.5,44.33417728181563 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-12-01,4,SK,quantile,0.5,38.76762855844572 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-10-27,-1,SK,quantile,0.55,61.88225601650608 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-03,0,SK,quantile,0.55,56.34014166527694 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-10,1,SK,quantile,0.55,52.36165636193224 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-17,2,SK,quantile,0.55,50.01048597166664 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-24,3,SK,quantile,0.55,46.42864576898698 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-12-01,4,SK,quantile,0.55,43.761829867588986 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-10-27,-1,SK,quantile,0.6,62.735418566319694 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-03,0,SK,quantile,0.6,57.72745926182917 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-10,1,SK,quantile,0.6,53.97042270049985 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-17,2,SK,quantile,0.6,51.491456439771824 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-24,3,SK,quantile,0.6,47.870865762839095 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-12-01,4,SK,quantile,0.6,46.13549462350285 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-10-27,-1,SK,quantile,0.65,63.70545123284517 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-03,0,SK,quantile,0.65,59.05143909652584 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-10,1,SK,quantile,0.65,55.54686246344521 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-17,2,SK,quantile,0.65,53.04750616504129 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-24,3,SK,quantile,0.65,50.09487310862835 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-12-01,4,SK,quantile,0.65,48.06776656158951 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-10-27,-1,SK,quantile,0.7,64.54747730177728 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-03,0,SK,quantile,0.7,60.402070847556125 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-10,1,SK,quantile,0.7,56.950882242325626 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-17,2,SK,quantile,0.7,55.09145022987588 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-24,3,SK,quantile,0.7,53.739950869145936 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-12-01,4,SK,quantile,0.7,51.608058717407815 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-10-27,-1,SK,quantile,0.75,65.44320139693029 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-03,0,SK,quantile,0.75,61.55524599061131 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-10,1,SK,quantile,0.75,58.869252192555 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-17,2,SK,quantile,0.75,56.32739749918359 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-24,3,SK,quantile,0.75,55.75314460234118 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-12-01,4,SK,quantile,0.75,53.80796037301271 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-10-27,-1,SK,quantile,0.8,66.23169703988825 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-03,0,SK,quantile,0.8,63.11725762342768 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-10,1,SK,quantile,0.8,60.26794789317729 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-17,2,SK,quantile,0.8,58.95126396519398 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-24,3,SK,quantile,0.8,57.26910822958951 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-12-01,4,SK,quantile,0.8,57.465649763059005 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-10-27,-1,SK,quantile,0.85,66.99366571275168 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-03,0,SK,quantile,0.85,64.42955974895408 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-10,1,SK,quantile,0.85,62.43454810481967 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-17,2,SK,quantile,0.85,60.59888192719912 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-24,3,SK,quantile,0.85,60.17613254999575 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-12-01,4,SK,quantile,0.85,63.00077631534408 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-10-27,-1,SK,quantile,0.9,68.03212115866897 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-03,0,SK,quantile,0.9,65.83936675271751 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-10,1,SK,quantile,0.9,65.50878576008836 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-17,2,SK,quantile,0.9,66.63824838443126 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-24,3,SK,quantile,0.9,68.06665569404473 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-12-01,4,SK,quantile,0.9,68.75435921229322 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-10-27,-1,SK,quantile,0.95,69.49110735255027 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-03,0,SK,quantile,0.95,68.8132110443698 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-10,1,SK,quantile,0.95,69.01352433474717 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-17,2,SK,quantile,0.95,75.26021725288925 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-24,3,SK,quantile,0.95,83.87644170419745 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-12-01,4,SK,quantile,0.95,92.89784478784672 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-10-27,-1,SK,quantile,0.975,71.1562432587238 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-03,0,SK,quantile,0.975,72.28778285297862 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-10,1,SK,quantile,0.975,77.22437946140415 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-17,2,SK,quantile,0.975,82.22529868880599 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-24,3,SK,quantile,0.975,92.22662975180675 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-12-01,4,SK,quantile,0.975,102.88192238133664 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-10-27,-1,SK,quantile,0.99,73.67303982773912 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-03,0,SK,quantile,0.99,75.6011480073087 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-10,1,SK,quantile,0.99,79.05126019088121 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-17,2,SK,quantile,0.99,87.52667090659497 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-24,3,SK,quantile,0.99,96.2488320527424 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-12-01,4,SK,quantile,0.99,114.91754629815831 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-10-27,-1,SK,median,,61.18164288622626 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-03,0,SK,median,,55.428934293541325 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-10,1,SK,median,,50.74728553993295 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-17,2,SK,median,,47.872372482188176 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-11-24,3,SK,median,,44.33417728181563 +2024-11-13,hospital admissions,2024-12-01,4,SK,median,,38.76762855844572