From d49a0431f6550370dc925d41f482fb43f2e5186f Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001
From: RokGrah <69851279+RokGrah@users.noreply.github.com>
Date: Tue, 7 Jan 2025 19:48:28 +0100
Subject: [PATCH] Submitting forecasts of Covid19 indicators - soca_simplex and
 SARIMA models (#99)

Co-authored-by: github-actions[bot] <41898282+github-actions[bot]@users.noreply.github.com>
---
 .../ECDC-SARIMA/2025-01-08-ECDC-SARIMA.csv    |  430 ++---
 .../2025-01-08-ECDC-soca_simplex.csv          | 1456 ++++++++---------
 2 files changed, 943 insertions(+), 943 deletions(-)

diff --git a/model-output/ECDC-SARIMA/2025-01-08-ECDC-SARIMA.csv b/model-output/ECDC-SARIMA/2025-01-08-ECDC-SARIMA.csv
index 722830f..eca376f 100644
--- a/model-output/ECDC-SARIMA/2025-01-08-ECDC-SARIMA.csv
+++ b/model-output/ECDC-SARIMA/2025-01-08-ECDC-SARIMA.csv
@@ -11,18 +11,18 @@
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+2025-01-08,"hospital admissions",2025-01-19,3,"SK","quantile","0.7",77
+2025-01-08,"hospital admissions",2025-01-19,3,"SK","quantile","0.75",105
+2025-01-08,"hospital admissions",2025-01-19,3,"SK","quantile","0.8",133
+2025-01-08,"hospital admissions",2025-01-19,3,"SK","quantile","0.85",168
+2025-01-08,"hospital admissions",2025-01-19,3,"SK","quantile","0.9",208
+2025-01-08,"hospital admissions",2025-01-19,3,"SK","quantile","0.95",272
+2025-01-08,"hospital admissions",2025-01-19,3,"SK","quantile","0.975",323
 2025-01-08,"hospital admissions",2025-01-19,3,"SK","quantile","0.99",396
 2025-01-08,"hospital admissions",2025-01-26,4,"SK","median","",0
 2025-01-08,"hospital admissions",2025-01-26,4,"SK","quantile","0.01",0
@@ -372,14 +372,14 @@
 2025-01-08,"hospital admissions",2025-01-26,4,"SK","quantile","0.4",0
 2025-01-08,"hospital admissions",2025-01-26,4,"SK","quantile","0.45",0
 2025-01-08,"hospital admissions",2025-01-26,4,"SK","quantile","0.5",0
-2025-01-08,"hospital admissions",2025-01-26,4,"SK","quantile","0.55",13
+2025-01-08,"hospital admissions",2025-01-26,4,"SK","quantile","0.55",12
 2025-01-08,"hospital admissions",2025-01-26,4,"SK","quantile","0.6",40
-2025-01-08,"hospital admissions",2025-01-26,4,"SK","quantile","0.65",71
-2025-01-08,"hospital admissions",2025-01-26,4,"SK","quantile","0.7",104
-2025-01-08,"hospital admissions",2025-01-26,4,"SK","quantile","0.75",137
-2025-01-08,"hospital admissions",2025-01-26,4,"SK","quantile","0.8",174
-2025-01-08,"hospital admissions",2025-01-26,4,"SK","quantile","0.85",217
-2025-01-08,"hospital admissions",2025-01-26,4,"SK","quantile","0.9",270
-2025-01-08,"hospital admissions",2025-01-26,4,"SK","quantile","0.95",348
-2025-01-08,"hospital admissions",2025-01-26,4,"SK","quantile","0.975",414
-2025-01-08,"hospital admissions",2025-01-26,4,"SK","quantile","0.99",496
+2025-01-08,"hospital admissions",2025-01-26,4,"SK","quantile","0.65",69
+2025-01-08,"hospital admissions",2025-01-26,4,"SK","quantile","0.7",98
+2025-01-08,"hospital admissions",2025-01-26,4,"SK","quantile","0.75",131
+2025-01-08,"hospital admissions",2025-01-26,4,"SK","quantile","0.8",165
+2025-01-08,"hospital admissions",2025-01-26,4,"SK","quantile","0.85",207
+2025-01-08,"hospital admissions",2025-01-26,4,"SK","quantile","0.9",261
+2025-01-08,"hospital admissions",2025-01-26,4,"SK","quantile","0.95",342
+2025-01-08,"hospital admissions",2025-01-26,4,"SK","quantile","0.975",405
+2025-01-08,"hospital admissions",2025-01-26,4,"SK","quantile","0.99",485
diff --git a/model-output/ECDC-soca_simplex/2025-01-08-ECDC-soca_simplex.csv b/model-output/ECDC-soca_simplex/2025-01-08-ECDC-soca_simplex.csv
index aeca624..d225300 100644
--- a/model-output/ECDC-soca_simplex/2025-01-08-ECDC-soca_simplex.csv
+++ b/model-output/ECDC-soca_simplex/2025-01-08-ECDC-soca_simplex.csv
@@ -1,321 +1,318 @@
 origin_date,target,target_end_date,horizon,location,output_type,output_type_id,value
-2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-19,3,CZ,quantile,0.65,18
-2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-19,3,CZ,quantile,0.55,17
-2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-19,3,CZ,quantile,0.4,15
-2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-19,3,CZ,quantile,0.35,15
-2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-19,3,CZ,quantile,0.6,17
-2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-19,3,CZ,quantile,0.5,16
-2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-19,3,CZ,quantile,0.45,16
-2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-19,3,CZ,quantile,0.7,18
 2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-05,1,CZ,quantile,0.05,15
-2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-19,3,CZ,quantile,0.3,14
-2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-05,1,CZ,quantile,0.1,18
-2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-19,3,CZ,quantile,0.2,13
-2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-19,3,CZ,quantile,0.25,13
-2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-05,1,CZ,quantile,0.25,27
-2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-05,1,CZ,quantile,0.15,21
-2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-19,3,CZ,quantile,0.15,12
-2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-05,1,CZ,quantile,0.01,9
-2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-05,1,CZ,quantile,0.025,12
-2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-05,1,CZ,quantile,0.2,24
-2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-19,3,CZ,quantile,0.01,9
-2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-19,3,CZ,quantile,0.1,12
-2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-19,3,CZ,quantile,0.05,10
-2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-19,3,CZ,quantile,0.025,10
-2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-12,2,CZ,quantile,0.99,48
+2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-05,1,CZ,quantile,0.01,10
 2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-05,1,CZ,quantile,0.3,29
-2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-05,1,CZ,quantile,0.975,131
-2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-05,1,CZ,quantile,0.99,160
-2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-12,2,CZ,quantile,0.65,21
-2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-05,1,CZ,quantile,0.95,107
-2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-12,2,CZ,quantile,0.7,22
-2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-05,1,CZ,quantile,0.85,74
-2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-05,1,CZ,quantile,0.9,87
-2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-12,2,CZ,quantile,0.6,20
-2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-12,2,CZ,quantile,0.05,9
-2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-12,2,CZ,quantile,0.4,16
-2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-12,2,CZ,quantile,0.8,26
-2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-12,2,CZ,quantile,0.45,17
-2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-12,2,CZ,quantile,0.5,18
+2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-26,4,CZ,quantile,0.05,14
 2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-05,1,CZ,quantile,0.35,32
-2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-05,1,CZ,quantile,0.4,34
+2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-05,1,CZ,quantile,0.4,35
+2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-26,4,CZ,quantile,0.01,8
 2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-05,1,CZ,quantile,0.45,37
-2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-12,2,CZ,quantile,0.55,19
-2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-12,2,CZ,quantile,0.01,6
-2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-05,1,CZ,quantile,0.75,59
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-2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-12,2,CZ,quantile,0.975,41
-2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-26,4,CZ,quantile,0.99,170
-2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-12,2,CZ,quantile,0.025,7
-2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-12,2,CZ,quantile,0.75,24
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+2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-05,1,CZ,quantile,0.2,24
+2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-05,1,CZ,quantile,0.25,27
 2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-05,1,CZ,quantile,0.5,40
 2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-05,1,CZ,quantile,0.55,43
-2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-12,2,CZ,quantile,0.85,28
-2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-12,2,CZ,quantile,0.9,31
-2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-12,2,CZ,quantile,0.95,36
-2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-19,3,CZ,quantile,0.975,26
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 2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-26,4,CZ,quantile,0.95,109
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-2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-05,1,CZ,quantile,0.65,50
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-2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-12,2,CZ,quantile,0.2,12
-2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-12,2,CZ,quantile,0.35,15
-2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-12,2,CZ,quantile,0.25,13
-2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-26,4,CZ,quantile,0.9,85
-2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-12,2,CZ,quantile,0.3,14
-2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-26,4,CZ,quantile,0.15,20
-2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-26,4,CZ,quantile,0.8,65
-2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-26,4,CZ,quantile,0.85,73
-2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-05,1,CZ,quantile,0.6,46
+2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-26,4,CZ,quantile,0.975,133
+2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-26,4,CZ,quantile,0.99,165
+2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-05,1,CZ,quantile,0.7,55
+2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-05,1,CZ,quantile,0.9,87
+2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-05,1,CZ,quantile,0.95,107
+2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-05,1,CZ,quantile,0.99,167
 2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-26,4,CZ,quantile,0.1,17
+2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-26,4,CZ,quantile,0.65,49
+2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-26,4,CZ,quantile,0.9,87
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+2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-26,4,CZ,quantile,0.6,45
+2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-26,4,CZ,quantile,0.7,53
+2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-12,2,CZ,quantile,0.4,16
+2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-12,2,CZ,quantile,0.5,18
+2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-05,1,CZ,quantile,0.975,130
 2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-26,4,CZ,quantile,0.2,23
 2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-26,4,CZ,quantile,0.25,25
-2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-26,4,CZ,quantile,0.7,53
-2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-19,3,CZ,quantile,0.95,24
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-2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-19,3,CZ,quantile,0.85,21
 2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-26,4,CZ,quantile,0.45,36
+2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-26,4,CZ,quantile,0.5,38
 2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-26,4,CZ,quantile,0.55,42
 2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-26,4,CZ,quantile,0.75,59
-2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-26,4,CZ,quantile,0.5,38
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-2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-26,4,CZ,quantile,0.01,9
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 2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-26,4,CZ,quantile,0.35,30
-2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-26,4,CZ,quantile,0.65,49
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 2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-26,4,CZ,quantile,0.4,33
-2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-26,4,CZ,quantile,0.05,14
-2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-26,4,CZ,quantile,0.3,28
-2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-12,2,GR,quantile,0.9,616
-2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-26,4,GR,quantile,0.7,553
-2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-26,4,GR,quantile,0.75,561
-2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-26,4,GR,quantile,0.3,498
-2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-12,2,GR,quantile,0.95,633
-2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-12,2,GR,quantile,0.7,582
-2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-26,4,GR,quantile,0.05,446
-2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-26,4,GR,quantile,0.45,518
-2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-26,4,GR,quantile,0.25,491
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 2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-12,2,GR,quantile,0.8,596
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 2025-01-08,hospital admissions,2025-01-12,2,GR,quantile,0.55,565
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@@ -841,73 +863,51 @@ origin_date,target,target_end_date,horizon,location,output_type,output_type_id,v
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