From 178d062fce89fcf9577ceefd7839e11c0c0c83af Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: Andree Valle Campos Date: Thu, 21 Mar 2024 17:13:33 +0000 Subject: [PATCH] move uncertainty task from episode 1 to episode 2 --- episodes/delays-functions.Rmd | 2 ++ episodes/delays-reuse.Rmd | 15 ++++++++------- 2 files changed, 10 insertions(+), 7 deletions(-) diff --git a/episodes/delays-functions.Rmd b/episodes/delays-functions.Rmd index 381aee09..77d51cb5 100644 --- a/episodes/delays-functions.Rmd +++ b/episodes/delays-functions.Rmd @@ -467,6 +467,8 @@ epinow_estimates <- epinow( plot(epinow_estimates) ``` +`{EpiNow2}` can also include the uncertainty around each summary statistic. We invite you to read this discussion on: [How to adapt `{epiparameter}` uncertainty entries to `{EpiNow2}`](https://github.com/epiverse-trace/epiparameter/discussions/218)? + :::::::::::::::::::::::::: ::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::: diff --git a/episodes/delays-reuse.Rmd b/episodes/delays-reuse.Rmd index 5ce0789d..4c595229 100644 --- a/episodes/delays-reuse.Rmd +++ b/episodes/delays-reuse.Rmd @@ -534,7 +534,7 @@ An interesting element is the `method_assess` nested entry, which refers to the covid_serialint$method_assess ``` -We will explore these concepts at the end! +We will explore these concepts following episodes! :::::::::::::::::::::::::::::: @@ -545,11 +545,11 @@ We will explore these concepts at the end! A severity parameter like the duration of hospitalisation could add to the information needed about the bed capacity in response to an outbreak ([Cori et al., 2017](https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/rstb.2016.0371)). -Also, `{EpiNow2}` can also include the uncertainty around each summary statistic, like the standard deviation of the standard deviation. + For Ebola: -- What is the reported *point estimate* and *uncertainty* of the mean duration of health care and case isolation? +- What is the reported *point estimate* of the mean duration of health care and case isolation? ::::::::::::::::: hint @@ -557,8 +557,6 @@ An informative delay should measure the time from symptom onset to recovery or d Find a way to access the whole `{epiparameter}` database and find how that delay may be stored. -Explore within `$summary_stats$...`. - :::::::::::::::::::::: ::::::::::::::::: solution @@ -577,14 +575,17 @@ ebola_severity <- epidist_db( # point estimate ebola_severity$summary_stats$mean +``` + +Check that for some `{epiparameter}` entries you will also have the *uncertainty* around the *point estimate* of each summary statistic: + +```{r} # 95% confidence intervals ebola_severity$summary_stats$mean_ci # limits of the confidence intervals ebola_severity$summary_stats$mean_ci_limits ``` -We invite you to read this discussion on: [How to adapt `{epiparamter}` uncertainty entries to `{EpiNow2}`](https://github.com/epiverse-trace/epiparameter/discussions/218)? - :::::::::::::::::::::::::: :::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::