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KP.2.3+S:A1174V (296 seqs, >10 places) 27% in Brazil ,Sep #2765

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xz-keg opened this issue Sep 7, 2024 · 14 comments
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KP.2.3+S:A1174V (296 seqs, >10 places) 27% in Brazil ,Sep #2765

xz-keg opened this issue Sep 7, 2024 · 14 comments

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@xz-keg
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xz-keg commented Sep 7, 2024

From sars-cov-2-variants/lineage-proposals#1843

KP.2.3(with 31del)+C28714T+C11518T+C25083T(S:A1174V)

GISAID query: C28714T, C11518T, C25083T
No. of seqs: 104(Belgium 1 Brazil 18 Canada 3 Denmark 1 UK 8 France 8 Ireland 4 Italy 3 Japan 1 Netherlands 5 New Zealand 1 Spain 23 Sweden 4 USA 24(1 from Nether;ands 1 from Spain 2 from Japan))

First: EPI_ISL_19276081, France, 2024-5-14
Latest: EPI_ISL_19386429,Canada, 2024-8-22

9/71 in Brazil seqs from 2024/8/1

usher
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@xz-keg
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xz-keg commented Sep 12, 2024

107,Chile

@xz-keg xz-keg changed the title KP.2.3+S:A1174V (104 seqs, 15 countries) 13% in Brazil KP.2.3+S:A1174V (107 seqs, 16 countries) 13% in Brazil Sep 12, 2024
@FedeGueli
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ping @corneliusroemer S:A1174X (V,T) seems convergent right now for unknown reason seem to confer some additional advantage. Maybe worth designating this and see if the other will follow the path or fade away as it happens frequently

@xz-keg xz-keg changed the title KP.2.3+S:A1174V (107 seqs, 16 countries) 13% in Brazil KP.2.3+S:A1174V (113 seqs, 16 countries) 13% in Brazil Sep 17, 2024
@xz-keg xz-keg changed the title KP.2.3+S:A1174V (113 seqs, 16 countries) 13% in Brazil KP.2.3+S:A1174V (118 seqs, 16 countries) 13% in Brazil Sep 21, 2024
@xz-keg xz-keg changed the title KP.2.3+S:A1174V (118 seqs, 16 countries) 13% in Brazil KP.2.3+S:A1174V (134 seqs, 16 countries) 13% in Brazil Sep 26, 2024
@FedeGueli
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191 now with a striking 25% in Brazil in September close to 30% in Rio after August 1,
Ping @corneliusroemer
On S:A1174X i have found some interesting references:
In this study https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10290734/ authors (Yamamoto et al) grew different variants along wioth plasma from patients with different immunity, S:A1174T has been acquired quite quickly and showed strong resistnace to vaccinated people serum.

cc @ryhisner @aviczhl2 @thomasppeacock

@xz-keg xz-keg changed the title KP.2.3+S:A1174V (134 seqs, 16 countries) 13% in Brazil KP.2.3+S:A1174V (191 seqs, >10 places) 13% in Brazil Sep 27, 2024
@xz-keg
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xz-keg commented Sep 27, 2024

49/184=27% prevalence in Brazilian Sep seqs.

@xz-keg xz-keg changed the title KP.2.3+S:A1174V (191 seqs, >10 places) 13% in Brazil KP.2.3+S:A1174V (191 seqs, >10 places) 27% in Brazil ,Sep Sep 27, 2024
@FedeGueli
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FedeGueli commented Oct 3, 2024

201 and apparently (and unexpectedly) competitive vs Kp.3.1.1 baseline, maybe due to high prevalence in Brazil

@xz-keg
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xz-keg commented Oct 8, 2024

232 seqs now.

@xz-keg xz-keg changed the title KP.2.3+S:A1174V (191 seqs, >10 places) 27% in Brazil ,Sep KP.2.3+S:A1174V (232 seqs, >10 places) 27% in Brazil ,Sep Oct 8, 2024
@FedeGueli
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ping @corneliusroemer this needs a designation

@xz-keg
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xz-keg commented Oct 16, 2024

250, Mexico,Germany

@xz-keg xz-keg changed the title KP.2.3+S:A1174V (232 seqs, >10 places) 27% in Brazil ,Sep KP.2.3+S:A1174V (250 seqs, >10 places) 27% in Brazil ,Sep Oct 16, 2024
@FedeGueli
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This is consistently slighty faster than Kp.3.1.1 baseline that for a KP.2.3 is quite a thing.

@xz-keg
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xz-keg commented Oct 16, 2024

This is consistently slighty faster than Kp.3.1.1 baseline that for a KP.2.3 is quite a thing.

I have a feeling that KP.2.3 is more advanterous in some regions than KP.3.1.1.
Recent batches from China also show a quite unexpected rise of KP.2.2 and KP.2.3 while KP.3.1.1 decays.

@xz-keg
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xz-keg commented Oct 21, 2024

267, Ukraine, Argentina, Luxembourg

@xz-keg xz-keg changed the title KP.2.3+S:A1174V (250 seqs, >10 places) 27% in Brazil ,Sep KP.2.3+S:A1174V (267 seqs, >10 places) 27% in Brazil ,Sep Oct 21, 2024
@FedeGueli
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Around 20% in Brazil after September 15 sampled in 3 states and in a passenger from Brazil via GBW

@xz-keg
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xz-keg commented Oct 27, 2024

296 seqs now, also in Austria

@xz-keg xz-keg changed the title KP.2.3+S:A1174V (267 seqs, >10 places) 27% in Brazil ,Sep KP.2.3+S:A1174V (296 seqs, >10 places) 27% in Brazil ,Sep Oct 27, 2024
@FedeGueli
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Designated KP.2.3.12

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